“…not as popular as people think…”
Okay, that’s hilarious. Biden (or anybody else for that matter) is exactly as popular as people think. That’s what popularity means.
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It’s the fabric swatches all over again. Superficial trivia is all he’s good for.
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His polling isn’t good. But polling in Wisconsin is especially underestimates the Republican vote.
In 2016, polls put Clinton 6.5% ahead. Trump won by 0.7.
In 2018, polls put Evers 2-13 points ahead of Walker. Evers only won by 1.5 in a Blue Wave.
For 2020, Trump trails Dems by 2-8 points.
A crazy Republican won the Wisconsin Supreme Court race in April, against a very qualified Democratic candidate. Wisconsin has a very resilient Republican element and a squishy Democratic one. Absolute focus on that state is required.
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That is new. But not unusual for a lazy person with ADHD. They’ll burn through enthusiasms pretty quick. Then one day boom, they’ll drop it forever. Gotta say, accepting and holding high all your caveats about not letting up, if he’s mentally checked out of most of the campaign stuff that’s fine with me.
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Same. He’s doing terribly in those crucial Rust Belt states and that’s why his campaign has been looking for alternate routes to 270. Also, WI, PA, and MI seem to have swung back to sanity in the last few years. They all have Democratic governors now
I read that his aides and advisers sometimes like to drop these kinds of stories in order to scare him and get his attention. They can’t criticize him to his face or he either fires them or flies off the handle, so they put out these kinds of news stories.
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More failing news from the fake New York Times no doubt.
NYT being totally suckered by another White House disinformation campaign. Again.
I’d take solace in your observation, except for the fact that Trump holds a grudge forever.
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I would totally believe it if the subject weren’t his re-election campaign. I could believe it about anything but his re-election campaign – that he will focus on like a laser.
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The numbers do lie, though. They lied in 2016.
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Historic unpopularity is good but only marginally relevant in an electoral college system that doesn’t reward popularity.
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The uniquely transparent 2020 electoral map means that we know in advance that toss-up Wisconsin will almost certainly be decisive. This unique foresight means we can start donating and organizing in Wisconsin now–as Trump is doing. Focus, focus, focus, focus. If I were @Josh, I would create a TPM badge for every member who has donated $100 to Wisconsin Dems.
No need to see figures when you can just make them up.
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tired of traveling . . . the crisis of the moment . . . his reelection bid . . . campaign playlist . . . campaign merchandise . . . spending his evenings calling former advisers
No mention of the time and attention he devotes to his day job. Being the sole content provider for his Twitter account is a demanding responsibility.
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No way Jose, Trump has never met a lie he couldn’t pass on. I’ve heard that there are radio stations, online web publicans, and a national TV station that are working 24/7/364 to manufacture enough lies to keep him satisfied for years to come.
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To me, there’s nothing to believe or disbelieve here. The behavior being described is behavior we’ve seen on a daily basis over the last few years.
Also, his inability to focus is legendary. It’s probably one of the top five most repeated themes of his presidency. We see it play out every time he speaks in public. He can’t even stay on subject in in a brief response to a yes or no question. It’s not that he doesn’t want to focus, the man literally can’t anymore than a toddler can sit quietly through a PowerPoint presentation on timeshares. Also, I’m fairly certain that for someone as shallow, materialistic, and image obsessed as PP, focusing on songs and merch is probably his idea of closely managing his campaign.
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He has no vision or policy objectives, the wall has not been built and Mexico will not pay for it, tariffs are a bust for farmers, 40% of Americans cannot manage a $400 emergency, his Trumpcare health plan has not emerged, he’s alienated our allies, and complains about traveling (possibly those diplomatic trips), but wants more ego stroking rallies. He is a lazy , TV watching, over weight, self-absorbed man who cannot articulate why he wants to be President. Someone needs to ask him what his vision and goals are for his second term.
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Yet he’s seriously underwater in approval ratings there.
Attended by the rubes who buy his bullshit—there has been zero expansion of his base.
That’s about 17% of the voting population. Not enough to win re-election.
What the fuck are you smoking??
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Tony Schwartz talks about seeing it vividly when he was ghosting “Art of the Deal,” near the height of his celebrity as a supposed business whiz. He always tailors his activities to fit his pathologies. If he decides, like a child, that he doesn’t want to do those stupid rallies any more, he won’t. Simple as that. And if aides point to polls and say he needs to boost his numbers here or there, he’ll say the polls said he wouldn’t win in '16 and look what happened. Crazy people can always cook the books that way. They don’t acknowledge reality. That’s what makes them crazy. I don’t know what Trump will actually do, and nobody else does, including him. The only thing I’m sure of is he’s capable of just checking out, just dropping the whole thing, because it bores him.
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Trump only needs to win in Wisconsin. Wisconsin leans red. Wisconsin Republicans just beat Wisconsin Dems in a crucial statewide election. It’s Dems who need to expand their numbers and get out their vote in Wisconsin. Which means we need to donate to Wisconsin. That is the cold truth. The good news is that if Dems nationwide focus on Wisconsin, the competent new leader there could have this thing wrapped up by the Democratic convention in July 2020. But, repeat, that is only if we recognize the big job we need to do there, starting now.
His intellect can’t deal with the larger picture, so he obsesses over minutiae.
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Uh, no.
Trump needs to win where he won (by 70,000 total votes) in 2016.
So far, it doesn’t look good for him.
Wisconsin has always been a purple state—the recent right-wing control there has ended—and it will continue to be that way.
Dems do need to work hard there, but that one state will not give Trump a second term.
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