Discussion: Trump Is Too Distracted By The Crisis Du Jour To Care About His Reelection

[old_curmudgeon]

If only.

[lanabill]

Big difference between 2016 and now: everyone, even (especially) the cult members, knows what they’ve got. There are no unknowns about this clown. I’m not sure who he’s tweeting to other than himself. I predict that the fatigue that he’s creating with this relentless insanity will deactivate more cult members than anyone realizes. Even zombies burn out from relentless abuse.

[becauseofjunk]

I really do not understand the “Too Old” electioneering, that would mean Trump himself would be too old for a 2nd Term.

[nemo]

Dems need to flip Michigan, PA, and WI. MI and PA look promising. WI is on a knife-edge. Not sure why this is so unpalatable. It is what it is.

[pluckyinky]

@thunderclapnewman

Attended by the rubes who buy his bullshit—there has been zero expansion of his base.

Yep, and the rallies aren’t even about reelection as much as they’re about feeding his ego. I’m 100% certain he’d have continued to hold rallies even if he’d lost. I’d be willing to bet my last nickle he’d still be holding rallies to this day.

@lanabill

Big difference between 2016 and now: everyone, even (especially) the cult members, knows what they’ve got. There are no unknowns about this clown.

Yes! One of the great advantages he had in 2016 was that even people who hated him thought that a lot of his behavior was all for show and that he was still a great businessman who wouldn’t destroy everything he touches. People just could not and would not accept that what we were seeing is exactly who he is. Some really smart folks on our side still try to cast him as this calculating evil genius when it’s plainly obvious he isn’t. By and large, most people are disabused of that notion and now recognize that he’s exactly who he’s shown himself to be all along and maybe even worse.

[matx]

He’s got Mick, Kelly Anne and revolving cast of lackeys and lobbyists to keep feeding his trough of lies.

[gatesfl]

Not necessarily. Flipping MI and PA gives the Dems 268 (to the Rep’s 270). However, NE 02 and Maine 02 both have one electoral vote, and both went to Trump. NE 02 includes Omaha, and went to Trump by only 2 (went for Obama in 08, and Romney in 12), and Maine 02 (which is rural) went for Obama by 10 points in 08,and by 8 points in 12, and then to Trump by 10 points in 16. Both are flippable.

So MI and PA are a must and they look good, and holding NH which was very close. Then win one of the following: Wisconsin, NE02, ME 02, Arizona, NC, FL.

[loss_mentality]

He only wanted to hear about his approval numbers, the songs on his campaign playlist and having final approval over his campaign merchandise, according to the Times. He hasn’t even asked to see his 2020 budget.

Does anyone believe that this isn’t all he’d want to hear about even if there weren’t any problems to distract him?

Trump is also reportedly fixated on Democratic challenger and former Vice President Joe Biden, telling aides to publicly deny any polling that shows him falling behind the former Veep in key states. He’s specifically instructed aides to say that “other data showed him doing well,” in the Times words.

Does anyone believe that he wouldn’t be saying this about some other Dem if Biden wasn’t in the race?

[rollinnolan]

Trump is losing it over Biden. He will attack Biden more and more viciously while Biden shows restraint and maturity. Biden only needs to poke the bear once and a while and Trump will react like a madman, hence getting Biden elected.

We vote, we win. GOTV

[nemo]

The nightmare scenario is if the Dems flip just one electoral vote in ME or NE and it’s an electoral college tie. In which case, the election will be decided either by a faithless elector or by the House of Representatives with one vote allocated to every “state delegation.” Democratic representatives are packed into blue states–which would presumably mean that states with a couple of GOP representatives would have the same vote as NY, say. Which means Trump wins. That really would be too much to take. Hopefully I’m wrong about this, I haven’t looked into it properly.

[junebug]

You sigh, a song begins
You speak, and I hear violins,
It’s Maggie.

[longtimeobserver]

Trump is all about diversion.

[emiliano4]

Trump’s biggest “campaign boost” has been his obstruction and stonewalling of nearly all of his misdeeds and those of his minions.

And the normalization of it.

Both are related to Trump in the sense that it is being done for his benefit. But Trump is an infantile, lizard-brained Orange Blob propped up by Evil and his presence continues because it serves the purposes of the people who are helping him (a) stonewall and (b) normalize it.

I used to watch bullfights.

The Dems are the Matador…playing around with the kill for whatever motive their strategists surmise. Too cute by half, I would say.

Because even cute Matadors get gored.

Trump is dangerous. Get at him with this ton of horrible, sinful and probably totally illegal acts of his and this “election” he is longing for will be an absolute hell for him at every emotional level imaginable.

[moonlight_will_graham]

Yeah I don’t see any scenario where Biden or whoever cruises to victory in MI and PA but then loses WI. They all voted in lockstep in 2016. I have no reason to think WI will diverge sharply in 2020. I know Walker barely lost in 2018 but that was a governor’s race. I don’t believe they are good proxies for preside

[sandi]

@matx

an American song and some Rolling Stones

Make the British Invasion Great Again !

[heretofore]

“Trump Is Too Distracted To Care About His Reelection”??? They miss the point entirely: this is exactly how Trump shows that he cares about reelection. He cares more about reelection that anybody ever has in the past: didn’t he start the 2020 campaign the week he was sworn into office? This is who he is, don’t they ever get it? He doesn’t “pivot.” It worked for him last time and he figures it will work again. In any case, he cannot change for more than the length of a pre-written speech; he is who he is, and he may be correct that it will work for him again. He knows that the Russians will surely work for him again. No one has ever worked harder for reelection.

[bobatkinson]

One of the interesting factoids about that “most hated” status was that until she announced her run for the presidency she had been most admired woman in the world for ten years until Michelle Obama replaced her. She was re-elected to the Senate by 60%+ and had great approval numbers as Secretary of State. Then the character assassination from the left, right and center raged on in full force and suddenly those who had totally admired her were now full of doubt. We are a very fickle, naive and gullible population.

[castor_troy]

Meh… You’ve just got to go back to the 90s, and even earlier. The stuff on hiatus was while she was backburner to them hating the Kenyan Black Dude. And don’t forget !Benghazi!

She may have been most admired, but the haters were always there along the way.

[bobatkinson]

But it never came from the left as well as the center and the expected right wing smear machine in concert before. “I don’t give a damn about those emails. But she gave speeeeeecheesss!!!” Had liberal friends who get their info from MSNBC casually say “So what choice do we have? It’s either a Socialist or a crook.” We’ve never seen such a ruthless character assassination attack as that leveled against Hillary Clinton. Clouds of suspicion and the publishing of right wing smear merchants book excerpts on the front page of the NYT and that shit on a daily basis.

[Fellows]

Failing Reality TV Show!