Where Republicans Are Set To Gain The Most In The Great GOP Gerrymander Of 2021

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heh, I expect an “announcement” in the usual Goober timeline … two weeks.
And something will come along when they get over their “covid infections” cuz alla that counting was a super spreader continual event.

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Let’s get something entirely clear: I am afraid of nothing and no one other than the idea that we will be flat-footed and unprepared for what comes because of the effete liberal tendency to intellectualize our way into scoffing at these people and underestimate their hate, rage, cultural resentment and entitled beliefs and their willingness to act on it all. Predicting what they will do and where everything is headed has nothing to do with fearing them. It has everything to do with fearing just how fucking stupid and unwilling to accept reality…to the point of actively rationalizing it away…the rest of us are.

“It can’t happen here.” “They would never.” “That’s a bridge too far even for them.” None of that is even remotely true, accurate or realistic. They are being primed and goaded and incited towards it day in and day out while we justify sitting on our thumbs because we think we’re soooooo much smarter than they are and that the universe will obey our “reasoning.” The former doesn’t matter and the latter is a delusion.

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It’s this year’s version of “Dems in Disarray.”

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That’s a porifera excuse for a district.

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It really soaks up the votes.

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You forgot to include that heavily gerrymandered states like WI, MI, PA and NC now have D governors. I believe maps in all these states have to be legislated and SIGNED in order to become fact. I believe some balance will be restored.

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Current CA critter count: 42D, 11R. The state is not 80% democrat by population.

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It doesn’t have to be. That’s what gerrymandering is all about. I assume you understand that. Right?

It would be great if every state had to apportion congressional seats based on how the vote falls in statewide races. But the goal of gerrymandering is to get more seats for “our party” than the population split.

I’d simply note that what’s “statutorily mandated” can also–esp. w/ a large Dem majority–be “statutorily UNmandated”!

While we’re vaguely on the subject, I’ll also take this opportunity to ask if (if not declare that) this “unilateral disarmament” issue is also at work in the national so-called “Popular Vote Compact”? I was a fan early-on, but as I studied it more, to my understanding, it ONLY obligates the States that approve it (nearly all “blue/Democratic”) and the others (nearly all “red/Republican’t”) are free to continue w/ BAU.

IF this understanding is correct, then it strikes me as the worst of possible worlds–if a Republican’t wins/steals (w/ “steals” absolutely including suppressing Dem/other voters) a national popular vote, then CA and the other blue states that’ve signed onto the initiative will be obligated to cast their (s)electoral votes FOR the Republican’t and thereby make even a close race appear even more wildly lopsided (which, to my understanding, is part of the intention of the Electoral College–to give at least some appearance of a mandate even if none exists)–but only in the Republican’t direction!

You are so right! was tempted to add that to my comment, but I decided to not load it up. I’m really happy you did!

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The Popular Vote Compact only requires the signed-on states to conform if and when the majority of electoral votes will be guaranteed to the popular vote winner.

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I guess what is most distressing about this is there is absolutely no recognition that the Republicans have no policies and have been actively killing people for 2 years now - but none of that plays into electoral politics. I guess if you can’t lose by overtly killing people, you just can’t lose.

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The electoral popular vote compact does not go into effect until sufficient states have signed up for it that their EVs decide the election.

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Justice Robert Jackson famously said, “The Constitution is not a suicide pact.” Well, this Electoral Collage Pact is.

I’ve already pointed out the error in eddycollins interpretation of how it works. Perhaps you could describe a scenario where the EC compact backfires? Remember, the pact does nothing until sufficient states have joined it that their EVs represent a majority in the EC.

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Thanks for that clarification, @occamscointhat’ll gimme something to reread more closely for… (and I STILL dig your I-gor avatar!)

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Yep…it’s a mishmash of various images pieced together…however in this case, the outcome is not at all artistic.

Am I the only one wondering why we see no analysis of where currently GOP-held seats might possibly be there to be picked up due to retirements, exceptionally foolish incumbent activity around COVID, a possibly good Dem opponent etc.?

538 is doing something like that, though they necessarily have looked at only a handful of seats, because the redistricting hasn’t happened yet. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/?cid=rrpromo

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