Well there you have it. If Biden has done all the consulting and heard from his doctors and family and he thinks he can get to the finish line, there isn’t anything more to be said. It’s very risky and doesn’t improve our position, which was possible. There was a very good chance that a change at the top of the ticket would have ignited some amazing enthusiasm. There was risk, too, but it was no greater than the risk we carry hoping Joe has made the right call and can perform the way a hard-fought campaign needs.
I would disagree with his statement that a change at the top of the ticket would be a betrayal of the voters and democracy, etc. etc. That is not correct, if he had to step aside there is no one to blame and it isn’t a betrayal. Some of the most ‘out there’ suggestions of passing over Harris and having an open convention might have some elements of thwarting the democratic primary process. But Joe stepping down due to health concerns isn’t a betrayal. No honor would be lost and it could be done completely on the up-and-up.
So, if this letter he sent today is the real deal, I will suspend any further speculation of a better strategy. We all know the trepidation that we have lived with since Biden first announced for the 2020 election. Amid extraordinary efforts to overthrow our system of govt., we acknowledged he was the person among our candidates who could pull together the necessary demographics. But it was a double-edged weapon, as his age was going to be an issue for the next 4 years and his appeal to younger generations was likely a significant weak point. Plus, we all knew that the way presidencies go…it is grooved for a two-term process and if you thought hanging on by our nails to reach '24 was fraught, reloading the same ancient weapon for '24 to '28 came with huge risks.
With this letter from JRB, we are cemented into that scenario.
Nobody seemed to want to work out a different succession scenario in the last 4 years, and the trepidation grew as the '24 campaign started. Joe put that to rest as much as was possible with his SOTU speech, but this isn’t the kind of issue you can put to rest. Old is old. It is the one issue that EVERY voter can judge. No matter how stoopid or belligerent or self-harming the electorate is, they all have witnessed aging first-hand. It isn’t a policy position which can be changed/finessed. It isn’t a scandal that can be addressed or overcome. You can say “I looked under the hood and made the necessary policy changes” or “we reviewed this department and made the necessary personnel changes”…but you can’t come back to the people and say “After careful review, I am not old any longer, lets get to work!”.
We will have to do our best, to carry on with the tremendous disquiet and trepidation we have lived with for four years already. It bakes in the very high possibility (if we win) that we will have a president who won’t finish their term. I felt that a change at the top of the ticket, if handled properly, could engender a blow-out blue wave that would make a House and Senate sweep possible and effect every race. I fear that this decision today means we still have a chance to beat Chump in a nailbiter, but not much else.