There’s the margin of error also which is arguably higher than the polls quote and the fact that I’ve noticed that in all the polls that I’ve seen, Trump never hits 50% and seems to hover around 47%. I’m thinking that stays that way. He may already have maxed out.
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Guilty!
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Big panic xenophobia in states without an international border.
Just finished watching all the crowd interviews from Trump rally NC today. Every single one of them said their number one issue is the southern border and migrants. One or two threw in inflation also. It’s all about the border.
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I believe he’s under orders not to do that and was caught, so, he may be looking at additional sanctions.
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According to a former evangelical, pretty much spot on.
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Ted Cruz Stung by New Texas Poll (newsweek.com)
A University of Texas at Tyler (UTT) survey found that incumbent Cruz and Texas Representative Colin Allred, the current frontrunner to be Democratic challenger in November’s Senate election, are both tied on 41 percent when potential voters are asked who they may support in the race, with 12 percent saying they are still unsure.
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Matt Schlapp, the head of the American Political Union, says he often asks himself, “What would Reagan do?”
This is not the counter-to-MAGA that so many seem to think it is
- MAGA was Reagan’s campaign slogan. Trump copied it
- MAGA attacks on Fani Willis, immigrants, and minorities are a close replica of Reagan’s Welfare Queen stereotyped scapegoating of black people. Only the immediate goals differ, not the approach nor the message
- For all his sunny persona, the Regan era was the era of “Me Me Me” and F the other guy. Reagan may have sponsored that with a smile while Trump sponsors it with whining, but the in-turning fixation on profit and selfishness to the detriment of the larger society is the same
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In addition to being the most ineffective President in American history – the approved conservative version of it – Donald Trump is a poor tv critic.
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The press pass was probably a mark of Satan to this folks. Not wearing the mark opened a lot of doors.
I don’t know if CPAC is as much of threat anymore - I came here to mention the drop in attendance (late, of course), and the Newsweek article had already been cited, but there were plenty of others out there with other titles mentioning low energy, empty seats and big name Republicans skipping the event.
I’m rather hoping the deep sleep these people are in continues well past November.
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Perspective…
It’s mostly MAGA clamoring about the border. I’d call it a 3rd or 4th tier issue depending on what group you ask.
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FIFY
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Never mind all of that being illegal under the 15th amendment of the Constitution.
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Cultist true believers, rightwing scammers and undercover journalists apparently are who attends CPAC anymore.
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You could probably make a serious argument over violations of any number of EPA laws and directives.
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How can anyone be unsure about Ted Cruz. He is odious.
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Not at all, the White Christian Nationalists are all good with that.
That said, it bothers the hell out of me, both the idea he is a savior and all the rest too.
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Even with margin of error, there are still some interesting things in the cross-tabs of that NYT/Siena poll.
“No religious affiliation” was 28%, second highest answer after 29% Protestant Christian. I’m surprised it was that high. Still not high enough to counter the Christian assholery in our politics, but encouraging if the number is rising.
The age breakdown was also interesting, showing how difficult it is to reach younger voters now through traditional land line and cell phone polling. Even the age 30-44 cohort had lower participation than the next group of 45-64, indicating how the results might be skewed by older voters.
18-29 16%
30-44 23%
45-64 32%
65+ 24%
Refused 6%
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Yeah. In comprehensive polling, “the border” rarely makes the top 5.
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Okay, so polls are not completely useless, in some instances, but it depends on who’s paying for the poll and who conducted it along with which select group happened to be questioned, with a sampling error of +/- 6% either way, adding up to a possible 12% error possibility in either direction, not withstanding which state we’re talking about which could also skew the results even further.
Obviously, I’m not a math guy, so my calculations are probably about as accurate as most polls. I dunno 
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