There is a split in the Republican Party that makes abortion impossible to discuss “correctly” as meant by Donald Trump which is all about political expedience. That is abortion is mostly about single issue voters, historically most of those one issue voters were against abortion. However, that would only be true so long as it was impossible because of Roe to actually enact those restrictive laws. That is all Republicans understood that if it ever became possible to enact the most restrictive laws on abortion, it would create many one issue voters supporting abortion rights and thereby offsetting their advantage on the issue.
That is until Donald Trump what Republicans meant by “correctly” discussing abortion was to talk like they supported the most restrictive laws while making sure those laws never could become law.
Realizing that actually doing something about abortion would give Trump control of the Republican Party regardless that it might make it harder to win general elections, Trump actually did something no other Republican would ever have done, managed to deliver on the issue and make it possible to pass the most restrictive laws on abortion.
However, by finally delivering what they had been promising for 40 years, Trump has created a new significant voting block, mostly White women, who support abortion rights and vote ONLY on that issue.
So you have to sides of the Republican Party and both sides are needed to win elections, those who don’t really care about abortion and those that only care about abortion. Additionally, to win elections Republicans now must find ways to not anger White woman and create more and more one issue voters on the other side.
So if Republicans go one way, soften their stance supporting the most restrictive abortion laws, they will lose one issue voters who only vote to create the most restrictive abortion laws. On the other hand, if the do not soften their stance on support for the most restrictive abortion laws, they will lose some their voters who really do want abortion to remain legal as well as create many new one issue pro abortion voters.
The bottom line, White women are most likely to decide the 2024 election. Aside from being the largest single voting block, they have the most to lose from restrictive abortion and other reproduction laws. Trump lost 2020 by over 7,000,000 votes while winning 53% of the White women vote. To have any chance of squeaking out an electoral college victory like he did in 2016, Trump must do at least as well among White women as he did in 2020. If Trump gets less than 50% of the White women vote, not only Trump but the Republican Party will lose bigly.