So…Why Hasn’t There Been A COVID Spike From The Protests?

Plenty of spikes though.

https://twitter.com/ASlavitt/status/1275907797096505344

BREAKING: US hits single day high of reported Coronavirus cases.

Federal government silent.

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A point of contention yet, but intuitively it’s unlikely that air conditioning would do much to spread CoVid, even if you had a phalanx of the infected coughing and sneezing into the air intake. How likely is it that moisture droplets make it out the other side after passing through HEPA filters and such?

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Age is a variable for severity of CoVid disease if infected. It has not been shown that there is less likelihood of being infected due to younger age… Younger people are infected at same rate as seniors it’s just less likely to be severe. 80% of those who get CoVid have mild-moderate symptoms. Seniors have more severe symptoms & are among the 20% more likely not to survive as well as those having co-morbidities.

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I’m looking to retire–and be able to stay home–as soon as I can get Medicare. In the meantime, I’m working with an extremely vulnerable population, and am high-risk myself. I wear a mask at work (mandatory), and anytime I’m with other people indoors. Outdoors varies a bit, depending on the circumstances–I’m okay with not wearing one where there’s good airflow and enough space.
These are all judgments made with the best available information right now. I have changed my behavior as new info has become available–I don’t wear gloves at the farmers’ market anymore; just wash when I get home, since we now know there’s not a huge risk from surfaces, and the mask itself is a great prompt not to touch my face with unwashed hands.

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In my area, with a current positive/tested rate of 14.6%, there is a higher percentage of young people infected. That perception may not have been accurate.
Edited for grammar.

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Nuh-uh. It opposes the positions of the “Godspeakers,” so that obviously can’t be it…

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But age would also be reflected in the count of infected people after the protests, with younger people less likely to be included since they might not seek medical attention for mild-moderate symptoms.

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Dilution is probably a factor, but the protests also had this going for them compared to visiting a restaurant, store, or office – no touch. The route of transmission isn’t just small droplets in the air breathed out to the ambient air, then inhaled by another person. There’s also bigger droplets that fall to surfaces that are touched. Lots of touch of lots of surfaces at restaurants, stores, and offices, but not nearly so much at outdoor, stand-up protests and moving marches.

We’ll see what happens from Trump’s sit-down rallies. In the unlikely event that you ever go to one, you’re better off not sitting down, because you don’t know where that seat and its armrests have been, epidemiologically speaking.

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Not so. Onset of symptoms (if any) averages about 5-6 days after transmission, not three weeks.

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But who is getting out and about with no masks or distancing? Old folks are usually more cautious.

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Though it seems pretty clear that touch is not a big route of transmission for Covid-19. If it were, people would be catching it from contaminated objects, but there’s little evidence that is occurring. Almost all contact tracing seems to be pointing to direct person-to-person transmission (through the air or physical contact).

There haven’t been reports of people catching the disease by interacting with an object that was handled by an infectious person (like an ATM) hours later. Though that might actually be due to dilution too. The severity of the disease also seems to be dependent on how much exposure you get. So if you pick up or touch a contaminated object once for 5-10 seconds, you aren’t going to accumulate enough of the virus particles to be symptomatic (or possibly infectious).

One of the early outbreaks in the US was with a church choir in WA. They attempted to hold the choir “socially distanced,” but they still had a big spike. There was no touch there. It was primarily the singing and floating moisture particles that were responsible for the spread. So being outside, with good air flow and a significant percentage of mask use does seem to be a big factor in limiting spikes.

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Greg Abbott has been blaming young people for driving Texas current upward trajectory. If they’re engaging in riskier behavior than their elders – and anecdotally, at least, I can tell you they are – it wouldn’t be at all surprising to see higher rates of infection among them.

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We will see soon enough what the results will be. Personally I don’t want to see a crap load if sickness and death. We have more than enough already. But any that does happen is on trump. I would be happy to be wrong on my thinking on this one. Trump’s insistance on these rallies makes me very nervous. He equates an outdoor gathering with folk in masks with an indoor packed crowd that does not believe there is a virus. He thinks he understands probabilities. And yet he opts for the ego soothing adulation and the hell with later sickness and death. This is not what a president does… talking about taking responsibilities and all. Have I said today that I hate him as BLOTUS and personally? We should expect much better. Not continual gross incompetence and corruption. BLOTUS indeed

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But aren’t the Yakima protestors of the gun toting right wing type?

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It’s not what any decent person would do.

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There us a risk from surfaces you should consider. To counter it we wash fruits and veggies and any container going in the fridge or freezer. Dry goods get a 4 day quarantine before being put away in the pantry. Sort of a modified home sterile technique. I admit it is a bit OCD. I also have a set of outside shoes that don’t come inside. Bleach (5%) is our friend (but not inrernal… in spite if what our dunce may think).

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You will get infections start to show up in 3-6 days, spike will be visible by a week. We are now three weeks out from the first large scale protests. Would be a huge spike in MN, NY, and DC to name a few places. Yet this is the pattern:

New York is basically down to zero. Perhaps a little eivdence in MN, none in DC or NY.

Look, being around republican/Trump supporters, who are generally unclean/unhealth/deseased, don’t wear masks, and then doing it inside is the equivalent of having unprotected sex with 10 crack hoes a day. It is going to get you infected.

BLM protests? Not so much…

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What’s your website link? There are several states I would like to look at.

It looks like the NY Times state by state. You can roam around there and get the data (and the map) for any state. I’ve found it very informative.

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I’ve been in Phoenix in springtime in 100 degree temp. Dry heat is still hot. The sun is relentless. I speak from the humid South.

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