Attorneys for the defense are getting restless. The judge has banned at least one major news outlet from the courtroom. No lunch breaks. Matt Gaetz has somehow gotten involved.
Still, it’s all good news for him. It means that the jury is not going to convict him on any of the more serious crimes, and that he has a good chance of walking scot free with a hung jury.
Folklore among lawyers is that the longer it takes, the more likely the verdict is to favor the defense, but that doesn’t seem necessarily to be the case here at all. Also folklore among lawyers is that when it’s Friday, the jury would rather reach a verdict and get this over with and not ruin their weekend. If they declare they’re hopelessly deadlocked, the judge is unlikely to let them go without taking some more time to try to reach a verdict.
It could very well mean that he doesn’t get convicted of the most serious charges yet does get convicted of the slightly less serious felonies that would still send him away for decades. And a hung jury isn’t scot free. It means he’s got to do all of this all over again and could still get convicted. I’m not sure the hysterical crying works twice.
Lots of attempts to read the tea leaves, which is always tricky. I would say, definitely, that this is not the slam dunk acquittal that the reich wing was predicting and the fact that the jury is still deliberating means that they aren’t deadlocked. If I were a betting man, I would say that Rittenhouse is going to be convicted of something and that he is almost certainly going to spend some quality time in the graybar motel.
I’d guess that it will be a minimum possible sentence and a speech from the bench, a la Brock Turner, about how Kyle is so well-spoken and that a lengthy prison sentence would ruin the life of such a promising young man.