GOP Scrambles To Retain Senate Majority, Even If Trump Goes Down | Talking Points Memo

WASHINGTON (AP) — Senate Republicans are fighting to save their majority, a final election push against the onslaught of challengers in states once off limits to Democrats but now hotbeds of a potential backlash to President Donald Trump and his allies on Capitol Hill.


This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://talkingpointsmemo.com/?p=1341606
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Trump is guilty of incitement.

( In criminal law , incitement is the encouragement of another person to commit a crime. Depending on the jurisdiction, some or all types of incitement may be illegal. Where illegal, it is known as an inchoate offense, where harm is intended but may or may not have actually occurred.)

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Turnout
Turnout
Turnout

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Three sided billboard at the massive new soccer stadium in Louisville:

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I’m surprised Sen. Ernst chose a Holstein-pattern mask.
I’d have thought she would’ve deferred to Devin Nunes.

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Probably the worst thing he’s said all weekend is accusing health care providers of profiting off reporting COVID-19 cases and barely a blip.

Mrs.Awiztherewas is in the field and found it beyond insulting. There is no bottom with him, or when we think maybe he couldn’t go any lower he fires up the backhoe.

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Incitement to violence has always been a theme of Donnie’s rallies.
He thinks it’ll give hime something to talk to the tough guys about when he gets to the clink.

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South Carolina is hard to read right now, since they don’t require voters to register by party. The polling is favoring Graham, but not by much.

Iowa looks a little bit better, but its still going to be close.

I think we will win North Carolina.

I am already putting Colorado, Arizona and Maine in the win column.

Georgia is most likely going to be a run off in both elections, so we won’t know for awhile.

I believe Hegar is going to lose, sadly.

And while the early voting numbers look promising for McGrath https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/KY.html, I think she is going to get blown out on election day. But its worth keeping an eye on, I don’t think many are. Kansas is another one that we could possibly pull and upset in.

Montana is anybody’s guess, simply because polling is sparse and hard to do.

Despite what this article is hinting at, I don’t see Peters in danger up in Michigan. Jones on the other hand, is going down.

So right now, I think we are net +3 (CO, AZ, ME, NC=D, AL=R) with 4 up in the air(IA, GAx2, MT), and 2 possible upsets, but both unlikely (KS, KY). And we likely won’t know the GA races until December.

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Senate Republicans are fighting to save their majority,

Yeah, right. Senate Dems will rule senate, 53/47. Plus V.P. Count on it.

And almost same reelection ratio in 2022, 20 'pubs 12 Dems.

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And gay folks stay in your closets!

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God he’s insufferable, tone deaf, and he only got serious about his re-election campaign because Harrison was raking in the $$$? That should be a campaign ad right there, “Sen. Graham only noticed the voters when he found out his opponent was raising more money than he could.”

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Fuck Lindsey Graham.

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This site has it as follows

image
https://www.electoral-vote.com/senate/

They call IA dead even.

There is a certain droll humor in their write-ups of the races.

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Thank you again for your posting. They are very helpful and calming.

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And in one case the police escorted the idiots… DEFUND the police, redirect funding away from guns to organizations that can do and actually want to do the work that supposedly only the police can do. You know to the 95% of police work that does not require a gun.

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Sadly DoJ will do zip about it since there exists a memo giving trump absolute legal immunity while in office. This is probably the worst legal reasoning I have ever run across as it completely ignores that we have a vice president.

“In 1973, the Department of Justice concluded that the indictment and criminal prosecution of a sitting President would unduly interfere with the ability of the executive branch to perform its constitutionally assigned duties, and would thus violate the constitutional separation of powers. No court has addressed this ques­tion directly, but the judicial precedents that bear on the continuing vaUdity of our constitutional analysis are consistent with both the analytic approach taken and the conclusions reached. Our view remains that a sitting President is constitu­tionally immune from indictment and criminal prosecution.”

RANDOLPH D. MOSS Assistant Attorney

General Office of Legal Counsel

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Arizona will kick McSally to the curb. Colorado will elect a democrat as will Georgia. One or two more and the deal is done.

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I think they are extremely optimistic with those numbers. Particularly the GA seats. They are putting Warnock down as “strongly Dem” based on a single poll that has him at 51%.

Warnock’s lead will disappear in a special election. Right now, republicans are split between Loeffer and Collins, they will unite against any Dem in a run off. And if Ossoff eeks out a win, the run off will be tighter, too. The big problem with both of these races is they will be run offs at a time when the electoral will be exhausted.

We could win them, but its far from a done deal.

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