South Carolina is hard to read right now, since they don’t require voters to register by party. The polling is favoring Graham, but not by much.
Iowa looks a little bit better, but its still going to be close.
I think we will win North Carolina.
I am already putting Colorado, Arizona and Maine in the win column.
Georgia is most likely going to be a run off in both elections, so we won’t know for awhile.
I believe Hegar is going to lose, sadly.
And while the early voting numbers look promising for McGrath https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/KY.html, I think she is going to get blown out on election day. But its worth keeping an eye on, I don’t think many are. Kansas is another one that we could possibly pull and upset in.
Montana is anybody’s guess, simply because polling is sparse and hard to do.
Despite what this article is hinting at, I don’t see Peters in danger up in Michigan. Jones on the other hand, is going down.
So right now, I think we are net +3 (CO, AZ, ME, NC=D, AL=R) with 4 up in the air(IA, GAx2, MT), and 2 possible upsets, but both unlikely (KS, KY). And we likely won’t know the GA races until December.