But the Senate approves federal judges and confirms appointees, so continued GOP control would still allow Trump a good deal of leeway to force his agenda through.
Not gonna be much leeway when the indictment anvils start falling.
He always has an excuse not to take responsibility lined up.
Usually Presidentâs have someone else play the role of Baghdad Bob. This one didnât get the memo.
Looking at some polling data yesterday, I am not convinced that the republicans are going to hold the Senate 
Oh, how sweet to be declared savior of the Senate. But, Donnie, look how youâre the loser of the House.
As the story goes, the German people knew disaster was imminent in 1944 and 1945 when the news spoke of the Army winning battle after battle but in locations increasingly close to home.
In a year where the Republicans enter with such an enormous numbers advantage, a result leading to them holding the Senate where it is or even adding one or two seats is still a Pyrrhic victory, only delaying the inevitable.
I agree with this. Booming early youth vote numbers in Texas and Tenn in particular should be a concern to Repubs. Many are first time voters. The polls do not pick these people up in their surveys. Suspect this could impact some Governor races also.
Make America Normal Again??
It is not over yet. Maybe they wonât win the SenateâŚor they will barely win it.
I really hope you are right on this. One poll I saw said the odds for Dems retaking the Senate were 1 in 6. But, what do they know? Iâm trying to be hopeful!!
Really, really hoping for that one.
Precisely. Nobody really knows what the electorate is going to look like, and pollsters are definitely struggling with that right now.
But we do know a LOT more people are voting than they typically see in midterms, and voting early.
Gingrich let that cat out of the bag when he said âThen theyâll [Democrats] be trapped into appealing to the Supreme Court, and weâll see whether or not the Kavanaugh fight was worth it.â Gorsuch, Thomas and Alito have already shown their inclination and Kavanaugh is a big odds on favorite to follow along with them. That leaves Mr. Balls and Strikes in the position to decide if the US abruptly moves from a democratic republic governed by the rule of law to a Trumpocracy that is immune to process while it is in office.
Saw numbers that indicate that early voting (with 3 days to go) was nearly 3x larger in Indiana than in 2012. I think this works in Donnellyâs favor.
They may be able to stall getting PPâs taxes, but the SC wonât be involved in everything. A Dem house means they can bring the pain every frigginâ day. And indictments are going to put treason front and center again, and there will be no distraction big enough for that.
If they barely win it - they will claim a monumental mandate. Itâs there nature.
I was getting a little discouraged about the senate prospects tracking the 538 forecast going from a low 20% chance down to around 15% chance for the last couple of weeks. But theyâve been upfront that a systematic polling bias of a fairly modest amount (i.e. ânewâ voters not showing up in âlikely voterâ polls) could make a big difference. Is that what you think is going on? I sure hope so!
Nevada early vote seems pretty good so far; dems need it for sure to balance a likely loss in North Dakota. Arizona seems good (early vote is harder to read?) for a possible pick up. But is Tennessee really in reach? That would be great.
A poll taken in Tenn. Oct.28-31 just turned up on 538. It shows the Senate race there as even. Think I saw somewhere that the under 30 early vote there was up over 700% from 2014. Not good news for Marsha Marsha Marsha.
I think that the unreported new voters are breaking for us, and we win races that are polling even right now. Great news about that. Dog sheâs awful.