Discussion: Poll: Trump Still Leads Iowa, Fiorina Surges and Christie Plummets

Discussion for article #239268

Iowa Republicans are not the brightest bulbs in the chandelier. Many of them are crass and under-educated, listen to talk radio in their farm tractors and still think Obama is a Kenyan Communist/Socialist criminal whose executive actions break the law.

Remember, Iowa just voted-in a pig-squealing Senator last fall who talks big but does absolutely nothing but repeat her crazy talk. Trump is right up these Iowans’ alley, angry, crass, unsophisticated with a big mouth.

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Of course Trump will survive after the things he said. In fact, he’ll thrive. As Steve Schmidt said, its not about policy positions – its about how obnoxious you can be towards the political elite. Its about a feeling of utter contempt for… everything.

Look at the internals of this poll: he leads among MODERATES, EVANGELICALS and "VOTERS CONCERNED ABOUT ELECTABILITY AGAINST HILLARY"

The rot in the Republican party has taken its toll.

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I can only hope as a Democrat that this populist brand of White Racial Resentment devours the GOP. The coastal Conservative Elite still want to pretend the Crazed Base will eventually fall in line behind the Establishment candidate, but I am not so sure this time. Ted Cruz looks more like the compromise candidate and he’s got Barry Goldwater size landslide written all over him.

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Next GOP debate:

“Ms. Fiorina, it is well known that women get irrational and vindictive when blood is coming out of their wherever. Will you now pledge that, if you are the nominee, you will chose a white, male running mate so that as Vice President he can take over presidenting when your wherever begins to bleed? Alternatively, will you release your medical records so the voters can confirm that wherever bleeding is no longer a concern for you?”

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The Ames straw poll would have been held this weekend had it not been cancelled. I wonder if Trump would have won and which candidates would have dropped out due to poor showings (Walker?)… The RNC dodged a bullet. Would have been terrible timing.

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Trump’s favorability also increased slightly in the four months since the last PPP poll of Iowa. The latest poll showed him at 46 percent favorable to 40 percent unfavorable. In April, he had an even 40-40 split.

Is that favorability among Republicans or all voters?

“Poll: Donald Trump Still Leads Iowa Even After Megyn Kelly ‘Blood’ Comments.”

Remember when Barry Goldwater was the craziest Republican ever?

Those were the days.

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Ben Carson? He barely said anything at the debate.

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Trump is the face (or some other body part, wherever) of the GOP. Finally, they have a leader that they deserve.

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Yup. But depending on where you live, their vote is likely worth more than yours.

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He talked about tithing and denied that racism exists. That’s all it takes. Like shooting fish in a barrel.

It’s the soft bigotry of low expectations.

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I’d say a drop of more than 20% (23-19%) is not a good thing for the Trumpster. I know it’s different polls, but still. I hope he stays in the game and trashes everything GOP at least until the middle of next summer.

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Iowa repugnicans.

N = 619, MoE = +/- 3.9%

BTW, over half of the GOP Clown Brigade is now
in last place – within the poll’s margin of error.

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If you believe in God, pray that Trump wins at least a handful of primaries and that there is a brokered GOP convention next year.

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“When people feel uncertain, they’d rather have somebody that’s strong and wrong than somebody who’s weak and right.” - Bill Clinton

The people who vote in Repug primaries have been lied to by Repug politicians for so long that they can’t separate fact from fiction.

Trump is exploiting that very well.

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Why should these early post-debate polls be taken with a grain of salt? Because for the first time, after the spat with Megyn Kelly, reports of just how disgusting Trump is have begun to hit the net at higher frequency. For instance, take this paragraph from a WaPo piece today by Thiessen:

Trump has a long history [of] misogynistic comments about women. Trump has called both New York Times columnist Gail Collins and Huffington Post founder Arianna Huffington “a dog” and said of Huffington, “I fully understand why her former husband left her for a man — he made a good decision.” He called a female lawyer who requested a break from a deposition to pump breast milk “disgusting.” On “The Celebrity Apprentice,” he said of a female contestant, “Must be a pretty picture, you dropping to your knees.” He offered to show lawyer Gloria Allred his private parts, assuring TMZ that she would be “very, very impressed.” And he said of his own daughter, “she does have a very nice figure. I’ve said if Ivanka weren’t my daughter, perhaps I’d be dating her.”

How anyone can support for POTUS a candidate with such a disgusting history – including, for lack of a better word, “undressing” his own daughter – is beyond comprehension.

Better yet, who in the world is inhabiting the GOP’s purported “big tent” these days?!

I think Trump can substantially improve his numbers by openly carrying a weapon of some kind at rallies and events - a pistol stuffed into his waist band; perhaps a large rifle with twin bandoliers draped across his chest; and at his heel a large un-neutered Rottweiler named Rommel.

Bottom line: The GOP is no longer a “normal” political party and perhaps cannot any longer be assessed by models and analysis that worked in the past.

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What? You’re telling me that Scott Walker’s ghost-writer and paid consultant has super serious totally legitimate opinions about Donald Trump and his performance in the Republican primary? Convincing! With crack analysis like that, Trump will probably be forced to drop out of the race any second now…

Shame on the WaPo for publishing Thiessen without pointing out his conflict of interest…

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What a quaint idea you have here. You might have had a point in 1992. It no longer applies.

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