Discussion: New Poll Shows Handel Pulling Even With Ossoff In Georgia Special Election

Does anyone know a millennial who has a landline installed in their apartment?

These phone polls are worthless.

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This poll actually gives me a bit more confidence in Ossoff’s chances than the last SUSA poll. Others had stated that the prior SUSA poll was weighted more to young folks and minorities. This one was weighted more to the general standard GOP leaning electorate. Even in such a model, Handel is only getting 47%. That the number you would expect her to hit if she were to lose this district. I think this race gets down to about a 5k-10k vote difference with a long night on Tuesday watching a vote count. Ossoff has shown a lot of staying power in a GOP district. I hope he can pull it off because I do think it would have some demonstration effect in how the House GOP behaves.

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People need to constantly be reminded that Congress is gerrymandered to maintain a Republican majority.

State legislative districts are gerrymandered to maintain Republican majorities. This all happened in 2010 when liberal voters were pouting and Republican voters do what they always do, vote. The decisions are made by those who show up.

If progressives want to regain the House with a progressive majority, and not just for 2 years, they need to push gerrymander reform. Democrats are just as compromised on this issue as Republicans.

In 2012 Democrats out polled Republicans by more than 600,000 votes nationally in House races and Republicans maintained their majority. That is by design.

Agreed. I think this race will be reminiscent of the Franken Coleman race in '08 that came down to couple of hundred ballots.

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Mike:

Point taken on phone polls, plus out in so-called ‘real America’ misleading pollsters is GOP sport. My question is: will your millennials show up to vote in a special election?

http://www.npr.org/2016/05/16/478237882/millennials-now-rival-boomers-as-a-political-force-but-will-they-actually-vote

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There should be polling places in bars, vape shops and coffee houses with free wifi.

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It will come down to turn out…taking a look at the current resident of the White House, not voting has consequences!!!

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in a nutshell -
Karen Handel: “I do not support a livable wage”

  • and says it in the context of discussing wages that someone should obtain when working a genuine 40-hour per week job … so her view is that it is perfectly OK for somebody who is working full time - all the time - to be falling below the “livable wage level”

and this thinking is running neck & neck with being able to earn a livable wage? makes you think that if she just flat-out declared that she supported slave labor she would have a lead!

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I don’t know why they are even bothering with poll and campaign expending… Until a few days ago I though that Ossoff was going to win based in the support I saw in an around my town. Not any more, I am truly amazed in Trumps capacity to induce corruption.

Mark my words, Handel wins, because republicans are the ones that count the votes, the Diebold voting machines are not secure, hell the Russians might hack the whole thing. And like I saw in the country I grew up, even a crude and blatant election fraud is still useful, it demoralizes the opposition and give up on voting making the following elections easier to steal.

And before you claim that it’s not fair to compare the US to corrupt third-world country, think again, Trump and the business deals of his children, the blow fest in the cabinet yesterday… the congressmen upset that the president is even investigated… need more?

Another encouraging thing for Ossoff in this poll: it shows GOP and GOP Indies coalescing strongly around Handel and yet she can’t push past 47% in a GOP district. A lot of the polls for HRC in the fall of '16, in retrospect, had a lot of voters in the undecided column or with third parties and in that way escaped a lean detection. Sit tight. Contribute, GOTV, call, vote. It’s not rocket science. Ossoff has proven himself a good candidate. Go win it for him.

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Franken/Coleman was a whole different kettle of fish from a Brooklyn perspective and because it was statewide. But of course this will be close.

this poll has an error range of 9 points… 4.5 plus or minus…a spread of 9 points… you could throw a dart at a board and make this prediction…

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As opposed to polling places in churches?

Is sad that in America Americans thanks to Donald Trump suspect the results of the veracity of elections in America… thanks Mr. Trump…

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Handel: Trump should fire Mueller on election day. My victory is as good as gold.

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And in November 2016 we outpolled them by 3M.

Millenial Mind: Why vote when it could cost me my justification for protesting? No no…they will pout, because unicorns are motherfucking real, yo.

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So, they do say registered voters. How about LIKELY voters?

And the averages of the other polls have Ossoff +5. So throw this into the mix and avg.

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I’ve been around long enough to understand that this is how it always is. Unless it’s a super blue district the Democrat will always be the underdog. The polls will always show before the race the Democrat ahead or even. Then the republican always goes in to win. We’ve seen this over and over and over again, and each time we think this time it will be different. I hope it is but I’m guessing it won’t.