Discussion: GOP Chair: '50-50' Chance We Lose Control Of House Of Representatives

““They have their energy,” McDaniel said of Democrats. We have our infrastructure gerrymandering.”

73 Likes

Thanks for the translation.

12 Likes

538 begs to differ. They have it as a 78% chance of Dems taking the house. Long way from 50-50.

39 Likes
17 Likes

This isn’t panic. This is a coordinated RNC/WH campaign aimed at scaring the ignunt bass and the big-money oligarch donors into action.

#GOTV

42 Likes

Yeah, well Hillary’s odds were really good too. Until she lost. Yeah, I know, she took the popular vote, but we still ended up with Trump. As far as I’m concerned the odds makers can STFU. The only poll that matters is the one that takes place on November 6.The rest is distraction and noise.

25 Likes

50 - 50?

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAhahahahahahahahahahaha! You wish

27 Likes
GOP chairwoman Ronna McDaniel

a.k.a. Ronna Romney McDaniel

25 Likes

I’m guessing it’ll be closer to 10% by November 6th.

15 Likes

That’s the first thing I thought, too. Distraction, noise, make Dems complacent, get the Republican base worried and at the polls. I could care less what odds makers think 2 months out from the election.

17 Likes

Much as I am a fan of 538, I think none of us has forgotten this Nov. 8, 2016 map:

13 Likes

The election was stolen. They don’t have a model for that.

47 Likes

Look, the Democrats are not complacent and they are not going to be complacent.

The majority of Americans: hate his guts, are terrified of what’s happening, want him out of office or at least under control.

@squirreltown - that is exactly right. I’m sick of seeing that election held up like a template - it was not a fair election.

43 Likes

I’d like to think it will be closer to 0%, but November 8, 2016 taught me that it ain’t over 'til it’s over. Polls are bullshit. People need to be talking about policies and ideas, not odds. This isn’t a fricking horse race.

12 Likes

Totally. Although I suppose you could count all the polls saying one thing, and the outcome saying another as an indicator! Remember when exit polls predicted results with extreme accuracy for decades, and then they were declared suddenly and completely useless?

11 Likes

And there is the fact that he got 3 million fewer votes, to boot. He didn’t even win when he won.

15 Likes

Polls deflate some people and energize some people. It is up to the individual and how they look at them.

4 Likes

Retirements. That’s what the problem is. Especially this one retirement where this clown retired from his reality show to get into politics and basically destroyed the Republican party single-handedly. That was a particularly troublesome retirement.

33 Likes

I know 2016 wasn’t any kind of template, and I hope we can prevent it from becoming one. You’re right that Dems are not complacent anymore. I think 2016 taught those who figured it was in the bag and they didn’t really have to bother voting learned their lesson. And I hope that the middle of the road people also learned that every vote really does matter. I just think talking about odds like this is distracting from the need to talk policies, ideas, real plans. Treating elections like horse races is easy. The media and the politicians have to stop playing the horse race game and start talking about stuff that matters. That’s hard, but it’s their job. If they’d done their job in 2016, Hillary and the Dems would have been in control for the past two years, and we’d all be much better off than we are today.

9 Likes