I hope everybody enjoys the…WAVE
6 points!?!?!?!?! Mwahahaha!
NO QUARTER
Don’t believe it, don’t get complacent, GOTV!
This will be a squeaker by all accounts.
Anyone have any info on the track record of this polling firm?
If Lamb holds the lead, it would be GREAT. I am starting to get a little hopeful here. Good luck to him. GO BLUE!!!
And on a totally superficial note, Lamb really is a good looking guy. wow.
(deleted forst post because I accidently responded to ur)
Excellent point.
Thanks for the reminder (and reality check!)
Republican groups spent more than $10 million trying to drag Saccone over the finish line.
Money is speech and the GOP is shouting, but “If a tree falls in a forest and no one is around to hear it, does it make a sound?”
As a Dem committee person in my voting ward, I will forever recall and retell the anecdote of the control of the Virginia House of Delegates hinging on one single vote.
The energy is palpable out there, though, and we need to just keep building on it!
What were the polls in Alabama saying before Jones won, do you recall?
Nate Silver rates Monmouth an “A+”, two previous outfits were only B-/C+. And Monmouth had an earlier poll of this race - maybe a month ago - that gave Saccone a comparable lead. Every poll seems to confirm the same shift.
I can tell you that here in the district, GOTV is in full swing. Nobody is relaxing. Cross your fingers (makes it harder to bite your nails).
Gets an A+ from 538
Leading the slaughter to the Lamb.
If I recall correctly, every poll in the final week or two fell into the poll’s margin of error. Jones was consistently up by a point or two but he exceeded expectations on election day, thanks in large part to African American women.
I can think of one person who won’t enjoy the wave
ETA: Make that two people - isn’t that DildoReilly next to Fat Nixon?
That’s what I thought - it was so close they were flipping back and forth for the lead for awhile and then Ah Hell No! broke loose.
It’s a diverse district so I’m wondering if you can elaborate on how it reads versus prior elections. Specifically, how do people feel about the district changing in November so that the person serving is really only buying a few months in office. Do the voters see this as mostly symbolic like the rest of us, or do they really care about the candidates themselves? Are there a lot of shrugs because it’s a special election among, basically, temp representatives?
I would think that the simple fact of doing it again in eight months with new candidates would probably lead a lot of people to just sit this one out rather than go vote for a single candidate on the ballot. So the enthusiasm gap would be wider and more critical than normal, and that Lamb’s support among the voting electorate could exceed even his most favorable poll numbers.
Tomorrow night can’t come fast enough for me.
Sorta OT/Sorta Not: As I’m sure many folks from around the nation did, I sent Conor Lamb a small donation a month or so ago. If any of you know of similarly deserving candidates and/or Dem candidates in red districts who have a shot, please post their names. As time goes by, when I have an extra $10 or $20, I’d like to send it where it’ll do some real good – especially at taking back both houses. Thanks!
Beyond the blue wave of 2018, I hope the long-term positive effect of the Tweety Amin reign is that more Americans finally understand that elections do have consequences.