These are good but not great numbers for Clinton in a must win state. It is about time that she steps up the campaigning schedule and lightens up on the fundraising schedule. That was always her plan - to really go after it in earnest starting now. From now until the weekend before the first debate, she’ll need to be doing a lot of rallies.
Don’t make the mistake of calling WI a blue state. Top to bottom, it’s republican now. The state HoR delegation is majority R, the state senate as well. All elected offices, statewide and regional, are R. Walker has won 3 elections. Feingold should beat Johnson, but the margin will not be huge, and it will depend on Milwaukee, Eau Claire, and LaCrosse.
I’m getting poll panic fatigue. Wake me up in October.
It’s time to change Wisconsin back to blue.
This shows that the Kennedys’ approach is the only one to take: Run full blast, don’t look at the polls, then see what happens on Election Day (well known as The Only Poll That Counts).
Interesting to see the polling differences in the Feingold / Johnson senate race in the Monmouth and Marquette polls. I live in Madison and HRC has some work to do to bolster support with the progressives here. However, I think Trump is still going to be soft in south east Wisconsin among the wacko Sykes contingent who he needs to run up the numbers with to win.
We will do our best here to make sure to get out the vote.
Trump has yet to hit 40 percent in any Wisconsin poll so I don’t worry about him actually winning there. The early August poll was probably inflated. Clintons numbers and favorabilities have softened everywhere, mostly because she hasn’t been actually speaking or doing anything publicly (except the Reno speech). Which means the faux-scandal stories get to percolate for a while and the soft Clinton supporters drift to “undecided” or more likely “I don’t want to think about this election.” The debates will help her simply by reminding voters of what she is actually like and not the caricature that floats around.
This has been an unusually long “dead zone” in the campaign cycle and will continue that way for a few more weeks.
The assembly and senate are controlled by the R’s but in 2012, the D’s got more votes for their candidates. It is a function of the excessive gerrymandering here. Hopefully we can continue the trend of good performance in presidential election years.
This is not surprising given that she’s been consistently beaten up by the media for the entire last week or so about the emails, the CF, the Weiner sexting… pretty much everything.
We’ve got a lot of work to do to counter. 68 days + 10 hours to go.
With a healthy assist from The Outfit.
I’m not an unskewer: I expect polls to continue tightening across the board and it makes me nervous. That said, it is worth noting that Marquette also polls the Feingold/Johnson senate race and this new one shows Feingold +3, while the previous one in early August showed Feingold +11 and ones prior to that showed a similarly large gap.
So far as I know, there has not been a raft of negative stories about Feingold’s email account or other developments to suggest such a swing in the interim. That leads me to think that the Marquette sample may be a little off this time.
The shrink in Clinton’s lead looks to be completely from a drop in her numbers. Trump’s remain flat. I suspect that he is close to his ceiling. What she has to do is get out there and get people to feel ok about her again.
They were that way when Obama one. Many blue states have red state governments for various reasons. And Walker is hit or miss in his own state but has done a better job of getting his people out and reducing turn out for the other side.
It would be quite shocking to see Trump turn the state in any way shape or form.
@poindexter. The polls are not adding up. If Trump is down hugely among college educated whites and soccer moms who went for Romney, and down big time among Catholic voters and way down among minorities as recent polls show, how is not Clinton up by the mid teens? Five thirty eight, please tell me.
I was going to write exactly the same comment. This is the time for Hillary to work on her image. We can’t assume she is going to win because Trump is a total and obvious disaster. Hillary has to give people a positive reason to vote for her.
538 says: Hillary with 77% chance to win Wisconsin(+5.5).
As I said in a thread in The Hive yesterday,I think what we are seeing in the polls is the dog days of August peaking. I hate the month of August in election cycles. Summer vacations are ending. Kids are going back to school. The Fall Semester is starting in colleges/universities. In August,most people ain’t interested in the upcoming elections. Like someone else said upthread,I’m a little fatigued by it myself too.
Looks like Wisconsin and Michigan are trending towards tRump. Is it time to panic yet?
Any Cheeseheads on this thread see any sign of the Republican hegemony in Wisconsin ending? Sounds like Walker’s fucked the state financially pretty good – not quite yet in Brownbackian territory, but getting there. He’s all but destroyed the UW system. His economic miracle has yet to materialize. His presidential run was sad trumpet. Are people getting sick of him, yet?