Well the celebration started too soon? In the bag? Trump keeps his mouth shut and he wins.
Weâre in a period of political doldrums right now in which most people really arenât paying attention to either of the candidates. At such times most people will automatically either support their partyâs candidate or say they donât know. Thatâs why polls coming out now reflect only political indifference and arenât very predictive.
I guess everyone on Wyoming answered their phones and everyone in New York was out for dinner.
Why I check polls at FiveThirtyEight. The site does not focus on daily single polls but rather posts periodically using aggregates of polls
Monmouth Poll had Hillary +8 yesterday, big deal. Trump is a buffoon, heâs done.
People with knowledge of pollling understand that one poll may or may not be meaningful. The top news sources for interpreting polls use the average of all the polls during a given time period. The best source for these polling averages is www.realclearpolitics.com.
No, this is one poll of dozens reported during the last week. Real Clear Politics shows Hillary with a five-point lead average. She has held this lead quite steady for a month.
Itâs like a roller coaster. One where the peaks and valleys are about a foot apart. It really is just random noise.
Oh come on folks even TPM has Clintonâs lead at 3 points certainly within the margin of error. Now josh can argue about this online poll or that phone poll and which one is best, but then why include those that he deems not so good? Because he is not certain?
Surely we have been seeing the race becoming closer
With Clintonâs negatives at 59% nothing is certain.
Her lead will grow after Labor Day. trust me on that.
4.6%
Gore won more votes than Bush. He lost the election. Not saying this is good news, but Hillary is still beating him in electoral votes. Itâs how it works.
Are the email and Clinton Foundation stories hurting her?
My guess is that voters take those criticisms relatively more seriously than all the awful stuff about Trump, because negative Clinton stories reinforce the âtruthâ people already know.
Trump has been pivoting to pick up Republican votes. His Mexico move looks bold. I think Itâs always dangerous to underestimate your opponent. What he is doing appears to be working.
Donât break out the champaign just yet.
Hillary is a flawed candidate and all the negative publicity is taking a tole. She better start countering
I have no doubt the email and Clinton Foundation stories are hurting her. The AP comes out with a horribly premised article and all the faulty impressions are reinforced.
The media want a press conference. I was watching CNN today and there was a guy on it (I wish I could remember his name. It was someone I am familiar with.) He said early in Billâs presidency advisors convinced Hillary to have a press conference to answer any questions. So she did. It lasted 70 minutes. And what happened? The stories just kept coming up anyway. That certainly explains why she is leery of having a press conference. I think it was somebody else in the same segment said, âHow many times is she expected to answer âWhy donât people like you?ââ
She hasnât held a press conference! What is she hiding? Oh, no!
So every other candidate has been flawless? No, the term âflawedâ has been stuck to her and there is no way she can rid herself of it.
Itâs time the rest of the Democratic Party get off its ass and start going after Trump loudly, consistently, and with a cohesive message.