Wouldn’t the bulk of unprocessed ballots be those that voted by mail or used drop boxes on or shortly before election day, neither method trusted by the GQP voters? Didn’t most of them vote in person?
I texted thousands of voters in the days leading up to and on election day, and a significant number that responded had just dropped off or mailed their ballots, or were about to do so. They would be the ones counted last, so I don’t think we can assume that the margin will necessarily sink to the polling average (which had older, lower margins mixed in, and late breakers were trending “No”).
Again this assumes that the voters for recalling Newsom avoided mail and dropbox, regardless of when they voted.
But who knows? We’ll find out soon enough. Of course I’d like “No” to stay above 60%, though.
BTW, here’s the CA SOS link for unprocessed ballots:
https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/unprocessed-ballots-status