I never believed that McConnell wanted to extend this trial to try to force Dem candidates to attend a trial as opposed to campaigning. Speechifying at an impeachment trial makes for great campaigning! And it seems obvious that any ongoing trial could only hurt Trump.
A two week trial is about as institutionally unsound as the rush job they did for the Kavanaugh confirmation.
I think Biden is the easiest Democrat to beat because Biden is the one most closely tied to the establishment. He doesnât appeal to anyone worried about the corrupt insider elites. Trump has to be afraid that a more populist candidate will peel off some of his support. Sanders and Warren, especially Warren, are appealing to the Joe SixPack voters who feel they have been abandoned by the Democrats. To a lesser extent some of the other candidates appeal to those folks as well. Amy Klobuchar is right. To win an Democrat is going to have to win Michigan and Wisconsin. I donât see Biden doing any better in either than Hillary.
Vs. Trump? He definitely will do better/Trump will do worse.
Both states seriously stepped up their voter suppression efforts in 2016. Now both have Democratic governors, which makes taking those steps a great deal more difficult. And the fact that both voted in Democratic governors is a pretty solid indicator of where voters are at. Enthusiasm in terms of Democratic voter turnout is running very high, and will continue as long as Trump is in office.
In fact, his campaign is worried about their chances in MI (as they should be, he is seriously upside down in MI, WI and PA)
I donât buy that for a second. Trump voters are not going to vote for either Sanders or Warren. If those voters feel they have been âabandonedâ by Democrats, itâs not about âeconomic anxietyââŚits about racism. They donât want âthe Otherâ getting what they think they deserve. Both Sanders and Warrenâs message raises those fears, it doesnât diminish them.
Trump knows who his base is, and how to motivate them. It through âowning the libsâ and hating âthe Otherâ. It is not, nor was it ever, about any sort of economic messaging. In a large part, that is why he has engaged in his tariff wars. Its economically damaging, but its hating âthe Otherâ, so his base likes it.
If you havenât read Joshâs editorâs blog Read This, it directly impacts this. The contributor says that according to the Senate rules, House managers can call any witnesses without going up to SCOTUS and all the delays that entails.
However, if the Senate only gives them two weeks, is that nearly enough time to call Mulvaney, Giuliani, Pompeo, Bolton, etc., to get their testimony on top of all the info House Intelligence has brought out?
There is a Spanish word âganchoâ, which can mean âhookâ. In parts of the Spanish Caribbean, it is also used for âexcuseâ or âpretenseâ.
âEconomic anxietyâ was and is certainly present for many a Trump voter and sympathizer, but the enlivening factor was always âThe Otherâ.
Again and again, the old cliche proves all too true: elections have consequences and so does ignoring them. I donât think weâll see a repeat of 2016 where Did Not Vote was the clear winner but Iâm not sure the country can survive if 2020 is even close: we not only have to win the presidency and hold the House, weâve got to take back the Senate and turn more states blue.
Politics was never my favorite subject but now itâs like needing enough air to breathe. I havenât been this engaged in decades and it isnât just âanti-Trumpâ either.