As I recall, the entire length of Downing St. is blocked off except on special occasions.
1 Like
It’s all pretty freakin’ weird. IIRC, Hutchinson publicly testified to congress under oath that Passantino coached her to lie. He then sued congress for “leaking” her testimony (?!?), and now he’s suing Weissman for “making the claim” after Weissman commented on her testimony for some news show, which is obviously far different from making a claim himself.
Also notable that he hasn’t accused the law firm that kicked him to the curb of wrongfully terminating him.
18 Likes
Got room in the back seat?
8 Likes
He GJ…that girl next door…her initials weren’t “CC” by any chance, were they?
3 Likes
So, he picked Andrew out of the hundreds of people who said it.
AFTER, the victim said it first?
Zero chance of success.
6 Likes
Yep…CC it is.
4 Likes
It is a short street. I was there 40-ish years ago, and my recollection is that the front door is visible from the end of the street.
3 Likes
https://twitter.com/Number10cat/status/1706056620428476435
Larry the Cat on X. Photobombing a BBC broadcast.
6 Likes
How macabre!
Jamarcus Bullard said he was walking to a job interview when he spotted the alligator with what initially looked like a mannequin in its mouth.
“I noticed it had a body in its mouth - like a lower torso - so once I saw that I ran straight to the fire department,” he told local broadcaster Fox 13.
"It was my first time seeing a gator in real life so I was like it’s pretty cool, but once I saw what it had I was like ‘is that like a mannequin?’
“It was pale and white.”
I was going to say that this gator prefers white meat, but that would be over the line.
15 Likes
One of my best friends and one of the smartest people I know.
I do love it when our lives intersect like this!
17 Likes
Don’t.
When @txlawyer says “they massage the data into a result they think is representative” he’s essentially correct.
What they do is this:
- They break the target population into a collection of what they hope are mutually exclusive and exhaustive1 groups.
- They think they know how many elements of the target population belong in each of the groups they defined in Step 1. These counts define the survey weights.
- They draw a random sample of the accessible population (which is almost certainly not the target population).
- They post-stratify their random sample according to the groups they defined in Step 1, and then recombine their data according to the survey weights.
Where does this fall apart?
- You can define your strata, but that’s no guarantee that you can operationalize it.
- Your survey weights are only as good as the data source that created them. The 2020 Census was notoriously bad–possibly the worst Census conducted since maybe 1860. Bad weights imply bad results.
- a. For telephone polls, the relationship between the target population (all adults of voting age, or maybe all registered voters, or maybe likely voters) and the accessible population (people who will answer your phone call) is increasingly tenuous.
b. There is a hidden assumption that people who do answer your phone tell you the truth. This assumption is increasingly dubious when The Fat Guy is concerned, and probably broadly. - Post-stratification has always been a chump’s game.
The only place I would disagree with @txlawyer’s characterization is that his summary makes it sound like it is an after-the-fact data massage, but in fact it is baked into the cake from the start.
–
1 Today seems to be taxonomy day. “Mutually exclusive and exhaustive” means that there is a collection of pigeon holes and everything belongs in exactly one of those pigeon holes. Incidentally, in StatisticsWorld those pigeon holes are called strata.
32 Likes
Bringing a lawsuit for an improper purpose – namely, getting out ahead of some imminent and obvious disciplinary proceedings – is itself a violation of professional ethics.
And Passantino is a limited-purpose public figure who can only prevail if he proves Weissman made the statement knowing that it was false or with reckless indifference to its truth or falsity. When the client has been on the public record for over a year that Passantino coached her not to remember stuff, there is no case for reckless indifference.
43 Likes
Only after chugging a can of Billy Beer.
1 Like
OMG this is just awesome.
3 Likes
It was discussed in great detail following the election if you recall.
Here was 538 final projection…
So 10 seats then… but 538 had crap polls effect his model less.
He also had Repubs with the advantage for senate… and we added a seat.
3 Likes
Sport fishing reborn! Cast like your life depends on it!
6 Likes
The area will become what GW Bush called “a brownfield” or toxic waste dump ( in the literal sense). It will forever be tainted ground where nothing will grow. Even the soil there will regret its own existence.
6 Likes
Polls are run by for profit companies and therefore serve only the GOP?
3 Likes
