Well right now two of the three states that will be hardest hit are not technically blue but if he wants to see us turn blue then he’s pushing us over the edge into it with this kind of shit.
Maybe. But I think OH is already about as gerrymandered as possible. And Alabama’s minority population may or may not be able to remain contained in one district at this point.
Wait, we’re all missing the big story here: Montana is gonna have TWO representatives in the House. I did not see that coming.
ETA: And Rhode Island only gets one!
ETA2: Just eyeballing these charts, my guesstimate is that the straight reallocation numbers would net the Dems five seats come 2022, and that it would go down to only one net seat using Trump’s funny numbers.
Montana’s growth is likely in the more progressive areas around Missoula, from mountain home retirees and other transplants. So I think at least one seat has to be regularly competitive for Dems.
As for Rhode Island, they may need to start paying people to have babies like Hungary is.
The excerpt Maddow published on the show quoted Miller as telling Soboroff: “My family and colleagues told me that when I have kids I’ll think about the separations differently. But I don’t think so … DHS sent me to the border to see the separations for myself — to try to make me more compassionate — but it didn’t work.”
Note that I said the made up numbers would hurt the blue states more, because they would be made up to do so. These numbers are essentially a wash, really.
I’m going to be that guy, but that table only needs 3 columns. Two are redundant. And the “Minus” column is a double negative if you are going to use -1 to mean seats are lost.
The GOP I expect anticipates a loss in the Supreme Court on the issue of apportionment among the states. But I think they will win on the issue of whether a state can apportion its congressional and legislative districts on the basis of voting age citizens.
Just delaying the census via multiple trips to the supreme(ly slow) court is a win for them. If any post census reallocation means a loss of up to 5 seats, then you delay the reallocation for at least one election cycle.
That depends on whether Trump, at any given moment, happens to recall that most of the population of Greenland is not actually Nordic blonde blue-eyed Danes.