Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) cancelled a rally in Jackson, Mississippi scheduled for Friday, opting to try and shore up Michigan instead.
This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://talkingpointsmemo.com/?p=1295406
This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://talkingpointsmemo.com/?p=1295406
Michigan is mercurial … Sanders has been hitting the campuses hard with a reinforcing message and that’s his best shot. I’m not certain Jesse Jackson will do him much good; his minority strength is among younger black voters.
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The question I have from here on out is not who will win the nomination but whether Sanders (and the Bros.) will agree that the greater good is making sure Trump doesn’t win re-election and vote accordingly–and, for that matter, support down-ballot Dems too.
Ideological purity is all well and good, but, man: Trump’s re-election would be the political (in the very broadest meaning of that word) equivalent of a pick-axe in the nation’s head.
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An Awful Lot Of Things Would Have To Go Sanders’ Way For Him To Win Michigan
Stress on awful.
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And if Sanders does win… then he gets a few less calls to drop out but the situation doesn’t change, the states to come are worse for him.
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told TPM that based on recent polling by his firm, he expects Sanders will get 42 percent of Warren’s support, and 25 percent will go to Biden.
Polls said Biden would lose Texas too.
Polls say what people want them to say.
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his minority strength is among younger black voters.
Young Black voters tend to vote as their parents and the “boomers” as people like to disparage them with this label have not been impressed with Jackson for a long time. He really brings nothing to the table.
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The race could be over tomorrow night. Republicans are already saying that as long as they have Johnson and the New York Times they have Biden. They are also saying he seems to be a bit senile, as though their guy isn’t.
Want to give a MAGA person a bad time, ask him how his 401K is doing. 
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An Awful Lot Of Things Would Have To Go Sanders’ Way For Him To Win Michigan
Well, they did in 2016. I was a little concerned that Biden did not appear in Michigan over the weekend, staying mainly in Missouri. Michigan is far more significant for the general election, since Trump won it. Michigan is one of the most crucial swing states, Missouri is now firmly red, so it has little significance beyond the primary.
Here’s hoping Biden clears the table tomorrow.
How Bernie gets away with this “establishment” nonsense while he’s been in office since 1991 is just bullshit. He’s been in office longer than most of his young supporters have been alive. It’s ridiculous.
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The economy is smoldering and President Fat Nero is fiddling while a pandemic stokes itself around us. That these factors both align at the moment Sanders needs a breakthrough is cosmically unfair to him, but that does not make them less real. I think the Democratic rank and file is mostly done thinking about the primary.
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Not the least which of having every other candidate who was on the stage with him endorse Biden
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He was going off on the Sunday Blabfests about how if Amy an Pete hadn’t dropped out he would have won on Super Tuesday
Well ya
They took votes from Biden not you
Would have got what you got winning with a 5 way split
He’s just pissed Warren didn’t drop out and support him
He’ll be in for a big surprise when she does support Biden
If nothing else Warren is a pragmatist and knows a wave when she sees one as apparently a lot of other mainstream Dems
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That wicked, devious Establishment trying to sway things by standing up right in the open and saying “Fellow voters, I have worked with both of these guys and I think Biden is the better choice.” The nerve!
/sarc
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Technically speaking this is not true: Williamson endorsed Sanders and Gabbard is still running. But yes, every serious candidate endorsed Biden.
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Do you think she asked first? If so, do you think he accepted? In my opinion, both fascinating questions.
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To be clear, he won 67 delegates vs. HRC winning 63 delegates. It was a PR victory, but not particularly meaningful for someone who is trailing in delegates.
Its the same situation he is facing now. “Winning” a state, but essentially splitting delegates won’t help him close the delegate gap. Especially when is writing off MS, with 36 pledged delegates happening the same night.
In just the combination of those two states, Biden will go up another 30+ delegates. But then there is also Missouri, Washington, Idaho and N. Dakota. Sanders won the Washington caucus in 2016, but got blown out in the WA primary. And this year, they only have a primary. And the last three polls in Missouri(68 delegates) all have Biden leading…the last two have Biden leading by 20-30 points.
Tuesday night is going to be a bad night for Sanders. The “importance” of Michigan is largely symbolic at this point, but a Sanders loss in Michigan combined with getting blown out in Missouri and Mississippi will be devestating.
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Belasio endorsed Sanders as well…not sure if he counted as a serious candidate, i don’t think many treated him that way.
I don’t really care. Hers is not an opinion i would care about in the least.
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And the governor of Michigan’s endorsement, too. Not to be overlooked by any means.
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