Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said Tuesday that the Senate impeachment impeachment trial was on track to start in earnest early next week, after Monday’s Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.
All Republicans will stick their heads up their a$$es and vote the way Moscow Mitch was told , by Putin, on how they are to vote.
This, of course, is to save the taxpayers money .
So here’s a theory (a hypo if you will) that popped into my head. (warning: this is not a prediction, just thinking virtually out loud):
Senate trial starts;
Schumer starts winning votes on witnesses and documents;
Public attention causes a build up in the media;
Newly expected FOIA releases get wide, Watergate style under the microscope coverage further confirming the story already told but the media play catch up to where the country has been;
Biden wins IA and NH. Looks poised to win in NV and SC;
Economic projections on manufacturing jobs, impact of trade war, growth and employment show a marked slowdown from 2019;
Trump sees the writing on the wall. Biden will be the Dem nominee and he recognizes and fears that he can’t beat Biden;
The polling progresses to the point where ‘Removal from Office’ is now net popular by about 8 to 10 points overall and gaining steam;
Trump begins negotiations on a resignation deal. The deal is he gets acquitted by the US Senate to give him his ‘exoneration’ and perhaps a talking point w/prosecutors or at trial before a jury. He orchestrates a pardon deal with Pence brokered by Barr. He resigns.
Pence now becomes POTUS. He is forced out of the running for the next term because he too is implicated as more of the info under lock and key comes out. New GOP primary, a complete TSS. Some douchebag wins the nomination who will be a sacrificial lamb. Biden wins in a Lyndon Johnson 1964 style blowout.
It’s finally upon us, but I still can’t quite wrap my head around it. It’s too late to clear my schedule for what should be must-see tv next week on every channel (except Fox, they’ll still be hammering Hillary for Benghazi), especially if they approve witnesses.
I know she won’t, but much would Trump freak out if Pelosi appointed herself one of the floor managers?
I can buy most of this, but what’s the timing on this: hours, days, weeks??
I still have no confidence that this entire trial is going to be fair and honest. I’m not convinced it’ll last past IA and NH on or just after 3 Feb - that would presume #ditchMoscowMitch will allow this to go on for a minimum of two weeks. Do I believe the FOIA releases are possible? Yes.
But so much has gotten past Trump like the manufacturing turndown and all, that I just don’t know. I understand yours is only a suggestion, but I can’t get confident.
There are, frankly, too many moving parts and scenarios to predict. But one thing that makes this impeachment trial unique is that it’s ostensibly about Trump trying to take out Biden because he fears him and Biden possibly moving into position to win the Democratic primary over that same time period. At the end of the day, Trump did all this with a sense of urgency and haste because he didn’t want Biden to win. He wants to face Sanders, Warren or Pete. Warren and Pete appear to be heading closer to life support stage, but Bernie is still alive.
In fact, if Warren does a mea culpa on their little dust up, it’s possible that she quits the campaign, gives Bernie an endorsement and that propels him to wins in IA and NH. That would upend things and favor Trump. We just don’t know.
However, what we can say is that Trump fears Biden and he fears prison. If this works out where the Senate trial ends up being a real thing while Biden is winning the primary, that could change a lot of things very quickly.
You might be right on the two things he fears. I’m not sure about the impact, yet, of the Senate trial unless we get a real Senate trial and the witnesses actually get called, respond and they don’t claim privilege or are not blocked by that guy.
I think it’s too early for Warren to leave the campaign. I don’t know that that gives Bernie the leg up - would they just go to Biden?
You’re right about the number of moving parts - it really is impossible to untangle this Gordian knot.
And don’t forget: we’ve been deeply disappointed by reality in recent months. What we see as inevitable really isn’t.
I happen to think that most Warren supporters would go to Biden over Bernie, but an endorsement from her might change that a bit. It is what Bernie is playing for as his canvassers have been trashing her to voters they meet who are undecided.
Re: Reality, I haven’t been disappointed. Mueller fell short a bit, the primary has been unsatisfying, but Trump was impeached, Dems did take over the House and they did win the 2019 elections. So there’s stuff to write home about.