How Long Will This Last? | Talking Points Memo

[tena]

Good.

I"m not going to accept losing anyone from this community. Be safe; stay in.

[dogmaalsocatma]

I had a “discussion” with a co-worker this morning, who was spouting the “it’s no worse than a cold for most people” line. And she’s a nurse! (LPN, granted.)
Jesus wept.

[thunderclapnewman]

IT would not be surprising if the rate of infection peaked in 8 to 10 weeks, with a very slow reduction in cases after that.

This presupposes success in the social distancing/quarantining/avoiding crowds scenarios.

[austin_dave]

If you are into it, this description of how this virus operates is amazing.

Understanding SARS-CoV-2 and the drugs that might lessen its power

[alanonguitar]

There is a “how long people - and local governments - will comply with voluntary extreme distancing” factor.

Everybody’s enthusiast right now. But for how long?

I know it’s less than through the Summer or beyond.

We may have to learn to live with this and manage it as part of everyday life for a long time.

[possum]

dicobot can get it,other than that,NO!

[castor_troy]

@tena

I"m not going to accept losing anyone from this community.

Except @rucleare and @playitagainrowlf, those are the most expendable members we have, that’s why @rascal_crone keeps assigning them to me on missions.

Plus @rucleare snores.

[nycabj]

I wonder what the curve would have been has measures started a month ago. Rhetorical question.
What really has me ticked off is that the misinformation spread by Trump and Fox likely means that more people will be treating this whole thing as a “hoax” to dethrone their beloved leader and will increase the danger to us all. If it just stayed among like-minded fools, that wouldn’t really bother me that much. Unfortunately, that’s not how it works.

[erik_t]

A full day of WFH under my belt and I feel like I’m about to go bananas.

I feel better about the pandemic today than I have at any point in the last three or four days, but man. This just plain blows. It blows for Democrats. It blows for Republicans. I hope we can draw something positive from this shared experience that we’re being forced into.

[castor_troy]

@alanonguitar

know it’s less than through the Summer or beyond.

Nope. That’ll just be the point at which the extroverts venture out and die. Us introverts are good until 2039, minimum.

[alanonguitar]

At some point society is going to normalize - at least partially.

Continued total shutdown is not sustainable. I don’t see it.

[dominic]

Just a note about the twitter post with the image from the NYT showing two scenarios with 100 million cases. As of right now, China, with a population of 1.4 billion people, has 81,032 total cases and 3,217 deaths, and their daily case-rate has been on the decline for a while. It would seem that we would really have to screw things up in order to have 100 million cases in the US. Fortunately, we have Trump boldly leading us. So we might beat China yet! MAGA! KAG!

[whiporee]

It’s just a guess there won’t be food shortages. If you start having drivers not drive because of social distance or quarantine, you have food shortages. If you have gasoline shortages because of the market collapsing, refineries and distribution sources not working because of social distance and quarantine, you have food shortages. If you have stores where shelves can’t get stocked because of social distance or quarantine, you have food shortages.

If you have people who can’t work, and therefore can’t buy things, you have a reduction in ordering which leads to food shortages. If you have restaurants unable to order, you have bankrupt suppliers (and restaurants), and that leads to food shortages.

We’re rather casually dismissing and destroying large portions of the economy. We’re destroying retail and destroying the hospitality industry with these mandates. Stores and restaurants can’t stay open if people can’t go to them. So we’ll have people out of work and unable to pay their bills in a country that doesn’t really have a social safety net.

And like the story said, we’re doing it to prolong the crisis. That chart they pulled was the first one I’d seen with a time stamp – did you see when the peak was for the flattened curve? November. Eight months from now, and the curve doesn’t disappear until next March. There’s no way we’ll be able to maintain any level of social distance that long. Not to mention that if we’re peaking in November, we very well may have a national crisis that demands the suspension of elections until … whenever. The crisis has passed.

We’re making a humane choice as a society right now. But I can’t help but think we’re just pushing back the spike.

[irasdad]

@maximus

Protect yourself and your loved ones, and avoid the idiots at all costs.

Pro Tip: When we end up eating each other, the morbidly obese ones are juicier and more tender.

(And can’t run as fast.)

[rascal_crone]

Yes, assigning them to you…
After the Prague incident, I really wouldn’t go throwing around the term ‘expendable’ if I were you.

[castor_troy]

Oh, not arguing with that. Just that other than needing to make quick food runs every couple of weeks or months, we introverts are thriving right now.

[playitagainrowlf]

@irasdad

Pro Tip: When we end up eating each other, the morbidly obese ones are juicier and more tender.

(And can’t run as fast.)

To rework an old joke:

“I don’t have to run faster than a starving Trump supporter, I just have to run faster than you…”

[maximus]

@irasdad

Pro Tip: When we end up eating each other, the morbidly obese ones are juicier and more tender.

Leave it to you to cannibalize the meat of this thread.

[castor_troy]

Oh, I thought that after the whole deal with Natasha and the poisoned whipped cream…

[maximus]

@rascal_crone

Yes, assigning them to you …
After the Prague incident, I really wouldn’t go throwing around the term ‘expendable’ if I were you.

Yep, someone should Czech his movements.