Does Al Gross Actually Have A Chance In The Alaska Senate Race?

The point is these are Absentee ballots. If Alaska polls like Pennsylvania, they could be 75%+ blue for Biden and Gross. In addition, Anckorage and Juneau are turning blue and native Alaskans are like Native Anericans and overwhelmingly blue. I think it is a long shot, but possible.

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As you probably know Alaska has a history of electing independents like Walter Hickle who was also the Nixon era interior secretary. There is also the crazy fringe element of the AIP who favor secession and were involved in terrorism back in the 90ā€™s.

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I can hardly wait for that one because the Lincoln Project is really going big guns in that runoff. This is going to be good.

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Look at how the Native Americans voted in Arizona - some of the counties were nearly 90% for Biden.

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Slim shot but, Iā€™ll keep my fingers crossed.

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Or, focus on purplish states, shower them with money and opportunity from all the excess tax dollars Blue states pay, and let the ostrich Red states fend for themselves.

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The George and Kelly Ann Conway marriage - they are in it for the money. Does that help to explain things?

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Alaska Natives seem alarmed at Trumpā€™s race to increase mining at the expense of sustainable fish and wildlife harvest (and Sullivanā€™s complicity with that). No idea how that translates to votes though.

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I guess my point is that Alaska is not monolithic. My friend, Jesse, by the way was elected to the Alaska state senate in 2018.

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Former Alaskan here. Itā€™s not all like that.

Gross is the sort of person who appeals to Alaskans. However, the climb is pretty steep, so it is unlikely he will win.

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Alaska Natives comprise less than 20% of the population, so probably not enough to turn the election, unless they are to turn out/vote in an Arizona Native American like manner.

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I donā€™t know much about Alaska, but in PA Biden got over 75% of the mail-in votes, which also represented only about 40% of all votes cast. Iā€™d expect that given the remoteness of much of Alaska, more Trumpy voters would STILL choose mail rather than a long drive to a polling place vs PA voters, so both Biden and Gross definitely have an uphill slog. But even voters in cities preferred mail-in to avoid COVID exposure at physical polling places, so who knows?

James Carville thought there was a real chance in AK for Gross since heā€™s an independent and the R brand is crap in AK as well. Biden did get more votes than Gross, however, so itā€™s hard to say.

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Carville and Matalin have always struck me as essentially amoral.

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Polls were close. Btw I did donate to the Al Gross campaign!
:slightly_smiling_face:

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I live in Alaska. It is far, far, far different from Alabama. And, perhaps the most beautiful place on this planet.

I havenā€™t met Dr. Gross, but I accompanied his dad on a violin solo almost 50 years ago.

He doesnā€™t have much a chance overtaking Sen. Sullivan

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Am I high or is there any possibility in North Carolina? They are still counting votes through this Thursday, 11/12, and have not released any updates since last week.

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Iā€™m with you. NC would be a good place to find the ballots that DeJoy tried to disappear. It would suck if the Post Office fuckery ends up saving Tillisā€™ Senate seat.

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Well Judge Emmet Sullivanā€™s order should still hold - that the USPS has to find mislaid ballots, no?

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I have been watching here, NC actually processed a few ballots today, and AK did one batch.

Thereā€™s a lot of estimated ballots left in both races, but we donā€™t have any real trend to look at yet.

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