Discussion: Trump May Have Already Lost Nevada, A Bad Sign For Down Ballot Republicans

I love to read the words “Trump” and “cratering” in the same sentence.

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Montezuma’s revenge?

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“Bottom line: in diverse states like NV, when more people vote, Democrats win.”

This formula is true in general. Why do you think the GOP spends so much time engaged in voter suppression?

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This will be great news in Florida and North Carolina, too. Trump will lose those states big-league.

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Before cheering let’s see what the numbers are in the red counties. Have more Trumping voted than previous elections? Also, knowing they are losing may motivate the haters and bigots to vote on election day.

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“Trump” and “plummeting” does it for me. :heart_eyes:

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"Of the 21 states studied by TargetSmart, women accounted for more than 55% of the electorate in 15. In North Carolina, women had cast almost 57% of the early votes, several points above their strength in voter registration. The same was true in Ohio, and in two states worrying Democrats — Wisconsin and Michigan.

Women do make up the majority of voters in those states, but in each case were showing up in proportions that exceeded their registration advantage.

In Florida, women made up 60% of the Democratic early-voting sample to less than 38% for men, a factor of 5 points over the registration gap. Women also had a gender gap of more than 4 points among Republicans and independents.

“The nearly 23-percentage-point gap among Democrats is eye-popping,” said Daniel A. Smith, a University of Florida professor who analyzes voting."

–This from today’s LA Times. I posted it in another comment elsewhere, but it is more appropriate here.

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When early voting ended in Nevada’s largest Clark County Friday night, Democrats had a nearly 73,000 vote advantage, larger than President Obama had four years ago when he won the state by 7 points.

I have no intent of becoming complacent but there has been a massive GOTV effort in Nevada that I and four friends from here in Orygun have been proudly participating in these past two weeks.

It’s our way of giving Michele Fiore, the f’ing Bundy’s and their ilk a Youuugggge middle finger.

We’ll be back at it on Monday and Tuesday. :triumph:

Roger that!

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Oh ho, TPM has a piece on this cheery development! Excellent and thank you for your service in the state Trump thinks must be called Nevahhhhhhhhhhda. I’m lovin’ it. Hope you’re finding some good grub and brought a couple bottles of wine down with you.

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We’re doing this from here in Oregon. Two spouses were concerned that us five angry old pink guys, Vietnam Vets all, might get into trouble in Reno. So we agreed that we could have a significant impact using IP Phones or throw away cell phones with Nevada area codes.

But it would have been a damn fine adventure to have gone there! :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

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I’m doing GOTV calling in California, which might seem like beating a dead horse, since California is as likely to go Republican as Trump is likely to turn into Elizabeth Warren. Even so, there’s no point in quitting while we’re ahead. The winner isn’t chosen until Tuesday!

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Well it looks like Giuliani and his FBI brown shirts didn’t help.

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Don’t tell Nate Silver. He projects a narrow Trump win in Nevada.

That said things look real good for Hillary.

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The news is encouraging, but let’s not count our early voting chickens yet. One thing seems clear though it all comes down to GOTV.

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Ha! I’ve been to Reno. Awful-Awful burgers at the Golden Nugget, if memory serves. I’m not one for casino towns, so your way sounds good. Closer to the wine.

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Makes me smile all over
Slainte!! (In Gaelic “to your health!”)

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Casino food sucks! Regardless I never enter the places, too much noise and pure Oxygen gets pumped in to keep players awake and gambling far into the night.

Every time Guiliani shows off his sorry ass on TV I am sure it motivates GOTV Dems.

And anyone not wearing a Trump hat with even half a brain knows it is BS when Trump tells his rally goers Hillary will let in 650,000,000 Syrian immigrants in her first week because a) there are not anywhere near that many Syrians, and b) there are only half that many Americans, and it took hundreds of years to get to 325,000,000.

In any other election year, such an outrageous lie would be disqualifying.

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Seriously you’re not missing a goddamn thing. I’ve never been to Las Vegas and it won’t be a deathbed regret if I never make it. There’s probably good food somewhere in Nevada but Vegas and Reno are not where I’d begin looking. Plus which I think (stop reading this, Darr) that God puts scorpions places as a hint not to live there. I treat God’s messages like E.F. Hutton’s. Scorpions? Later dude got other places to be.

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