Discussion for article #228444
As Iâve posted before, itâs easy to tell that Daniel Strauss once worked for Politico and Roll Call.
Edit: My apologies to Daniel Strauss because the problem with this piece isnât the reporting but the headline. Like Nate Silver ,the consensus of these folks is that the Republicans are slightly favored to take the Senate.
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Gee, a Republican âwriterâ claiming itâs still a âslam dunkâ for the GOPâŚ
Isnât this the same tool that said âWelcome our next President, Mitt Romneyâ ?
Articles written by political hacks should have a disclaimer at the top, noting where they work and under which administration they served.
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Wasnât Iraq having WMDs a slam dunk too?
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Slam-dunk. I do not think that word means what you think it means.
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Wow. I hadnât realized TPMZ had become one of those places you go on your way down.
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America will get the government that an ignorant, disengaged country deserves.
For the uninformed who will decide this election, I can only hope that karma is indeed a nasty bitch for all of them.
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Seriously! What are you FOX news? Your headline says "Slam-Dunk for the GOP, but the text says âslightly Favorâ the Republicans. Which is it? If I wanted sensationalism Iâd go to the Daily Mail. I miss the days when Josh Marshall was a one man show (yes Iâm that old).
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History may suggest that controls the White House is more likely to lose seats in midterms but how many seats varies, according to Emory Universityâs Alan I. Abramowitz.
Iâve had it up to here with âprogressivesâ always citing history as an excuse to give up. If it were up to âhistory,â there would be no New Deal, Civil Rights Act, Voting Rights Act, Social Security, and Obama wouldnât be President. All those things exceeded expectations, and it isnât very progressive to utilize history as an excuse. Progressives have to learn from history, which means not repeating the same mistakes from 2010 in creating an environment of voter apathy in which enough voters stay home and allow the worst GOP in history to win the Senate and potentially keep the House.
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It is not about giving up, it is about facing reality. The seats that are going to decide the majority in the Senate are seats that would favor the GOP in every election, not just mid-terms, unless you have a very pro-Democratic wave like in 2008.
West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina are GOP states. If a mainstream Republican is nominated then those states should be in the GOP column. If you have a climate that is slightly favoring the GOP, then Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire begin to come into play. That is just reality. It doesnât mean the GOP is a lock to win the Senate but it is a lock they will at least pickup at least 4-5 seats, which is what the article is saying.
Just like in 2016 the competitive seats that are up are more favorable to Democrats, so Democrats will be favored to, depending on how many seats the GOP pickup, to either expanded their Majority or to retake the Majority. That is what happens when you essentially live in a 50-50 country that control is determined by who gets 52% Nationally.
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Reality is we have the worst GOP in the history of the Republic. How many people listen to the GOP day in and day out and say âThe GOP are great for America, so lets support them!â
GOP favorability are at all-time record lows, which is why they talk nonstop about Obamaâs approval rating, even though he isnât on the ballot. There is no climate âslightly favoring the GOP,â as a matter of fact, Democrats should be leading everywhere and blowing the GOP out. This is the same GOP that shut the government down over Obamacare a year ago and had 144 idiots vote to default on the national debt, which is irresponsible.
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Letâs not soil our undies just yet, shall we?
Letâs assume Mr. Strauss is correct and Republicans achieve a majority in the Senate.
The House will act, the Senate will agree and the President will VETO.
So unless the Republicans attain a veto-proof majority, with no defections, nothing will change except it will be our President who will actively thwart their attempts to deconstruct the United States.
The key question remains; what are their chances of hitting 67?
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The President is always on the ballot, to say they are not is just ignoring reality. In 2006, George W Bush was on the ballot and every single Democrat ran against him and his policies. That is just the way it goes. Believe me if the Presidentâs approval numbers were 60% instead of the high 30s/low 40s Democratic nominees in these states wouldnât be running away from him like he has Ebola.
The fact that the Democrats are not leading everywhere should tell you that the GOP instant as unpopular as you think or the Democratic Party isnât as popular as you think. It is hard for ideologues to grasp the concept that not everyone thinks like them or see the world the same way.
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I donât think the President actually cares if the GOP takes over the Senate. It would be easier to cut deals with the GOP than to have to involve your own party as well. The party with the problem will be the GOP. They will have to cut deals with themselves or the House will be constantly at war with the Senate and then the President sit back and watches.
The headline says âslam dunkâ, the article says experts predict 50/50 split in senateâŚwtf
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Though my inclination would be to blame it on a dumbing-down of America, truth is, Democrats need to give voters something to vote for.
Yet, even in a choice between the lesser of evils, itâs hard to understand how this can be happening. America is choosing to break the deadlock in Congress by abandoning the American Dream all together.
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With the blessing of the SCOTUS, the Democrats have been gerrymandered out of existence in the majority of the states with Republican legislatures. Elections in this country should not be considered as legitimate. So why pretend they are?
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This is such bullshit, utter bullshit fresh from the asshole of the Conservative Entertainment Complex. Unemployment is now at pre-Depression numbers and only .4% from full employment. The DOW has grown by nearly 10,000 points. The uninsured rate has fallen dramatically despite Republican intransigence and attempts to keep their foot on the necks of the middle class and poor. You talk about military strength reduced, yet ignore the fact that Obama has avoided nearly a half dozen wars for which both McCain and Romney have demanded boots on the ground. This president is on track to deport more people than any other president in history (not a measure Iâm proud of, but one that seems to impress you people). And the borders would be far more secure if the bigots in the House would vote on the immigration bill that passed the Senate that allows for billions more in border security. The crime rate, particularly violent crime, has continued to drop consistently. Moral values have been strengthened as more and more Americans begin to wake up to the fact that treating LGBTs unequally is a gravely moral failing. Step outside of the GOP hermetically-sealed bubble and take a deep breath of reality.
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Be afraid! Be very very afraid!! The same fate awaits you as Osama bin Laden! Theyâre coming to behead your pet goat! Be very afraid!!!
And as far as moral values go, I unequivocally reject that which you confuse with âvalues,â specifically, bigotry, hate, and ignorance.
You disrespect the duly-elected President of the United States, and in so doing, you disrespect your fellow citizens who elected him, but your simple mind is so consumed with hate you think it a virtue to hold other citizens in contempt.
You offer no evidence to support any of your vitriolic nonsense, and you presume that spewing shallow and threadbare talking points is the mark of being an informed citizen
I commend to you the following in the highly unlikely chance youâll actually learn something from it:
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Ridiculous article. The Senate control is on a knifeâs edge. It could go either way.
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