This will be a squeaker but Udall will pull it out…The polsters that have Gardner ahead by large margins are under sampling Hispanic
Hispanics < women, and African americans as well as Dems! Just look at the crosstabs…
Personhood gardner is a huge liar and the Kock bros and rove have a serious number of LIE ADS out that are tturnin people off or infuriating them causing them to vote early and make calls!
Udall has a great ground game, Gardner doesn’t have any ground game…I think the Udall campaign knocked on 140,000 doors LAST WEEK. There is no way Gardner wins this, it will be close but Udall will win it by 2 or 3.
I totally agree, and if I remember correctly when they changed their model from registered to likely voters in 2012, the same thing happened, and that is when Romney started actually believing he had a chance to win. On election day, it turned out to be far more what the earlier polls using the registered voter models that were closer to the results.