Don’t worry, it is early in Texas. Time for Trump to screw it up.
Trump: “Winning !”
Trump: I wonder what I have to do to turn these 6% over to Hillary. Why don’t they get it? TX is even stupider than Iowa.
Texas has some of the most horrible elected officials in the country:
Cornyn
Cruz
Abbot
Paxton
Patrick
Sessions
Gohmert
In spite of this barren intellectual wasteland, urban areas of Texas are blue (Austin, Dallas, Houston). There really is reason to be guardedly optimistic about turning Texas pale blue. If something as unthinkable as Trump getting the nomination can happen, maybe a Clinton win in TX isn’t totally out of the question.
Waiting for Trump to tweet the poll results without noting it’s only for Texas.
To give more context:
A Democratic victory in Texas this year remains a stretch but within the numbers there are signs of Democrats being positioned to become seriously competitive there in the years ahead. Trump’s lead is based entirely on his holding a 63-33 advantage among seniors. With voters under 65, Clinton leads him 49-45. And when you look just specifically at voters under 45, Clinton leads Trump 60-35. Older voters are overwhelmingly responsible for the Republican advantage in Texas, and generational change is likely to help Democrats become more competitive.
A big piece of that generational change is the increasing racial diversity of the electorate in Texas. Trump has a 69/25 lead with white voters but the reason the state’s so competitive overall is that among non-white voters Clinton has a 73-21 lead, including a 68-27 edge with the state’s booming Hispanic population.
Clinton’s unpopular in Texas, as you would expect, with a 36/59 favorability rating. But Trump’s not a whole lot better off with only 40% of voters seeing him favorably to 53% with a negative opinion. The tax return issue continues to plague Trump with 64% of voters thinking he needs to release his returns to only 25% who don’t think it’s necessary for him to. Even Trump’s supporters, by a 43/41 spread, think he should release them. Another issue that has the potential to cause Trump problems down the road is if he refuses to participate in the debates as scheduled. 77% of voters think he needs to do that to only 14% who don’t think he needs to and among his own supporters there’s an even stronger sentiment- 82/12- that Trump needs to participate. If Trump is stubborn about that it could cause the bottom to fall out on his support even further.
What about the guy who yelled “Baby Killer!” when that Michigan Blue Dog Congressman living at the C Street Religious Cult Congressional Residence was explaining and apologizing for voting in favor of Obamacare. I thought he was from Texas.
Contrast to 2012, where Romney beat Obama in TX by 17.8%
In other news:
Bwa-ha-ha-ha-ha …
Next stops - San Francisco and Chicago?
Texas has roughly 14 million registered voters. How is a poll of just over 900 going to reveal the truth?
How do any polls reveal the truth?
Let him have Texas. And Oklahoma and Wyoming. Trump won’t feel so bad then. Poor boy.
OOhhh Ooohhh…can I sing “The Gambler” now? Please? I’ll wear the boots!
Even that Mormon northerner Romney took Texas by 15. This is bad news for Trumpy.
Trump supporters are extremely confident that he’s going to destroy Clinton in the debates. Their idea of debate, I think, is basically two tweens playing the dozens because they seem to think he’s really going to “put her in her place”, so this is something they’re truly looking forward to. I suspect that if he does back out of debating Clinton it will actually be one of the few things that hurt him a little with his core base. They want to see him get on stage and call her a bunch of nasty names, and they’ll be angry if they’re denied that opportunity.
Yawn. Zzzzzzz
Last week there was a poll showing Trump up by 11 in Texas. So, can we say that his support fell by half in a week?
by the Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling.
Still fucking that chicken TPM?
Public Policy Polling (PPP) is not “Democratic leaning” it is Democratic affiliated. But FiveThirtyEight shows it actually has a slight Republican house bias in their results:
Get your head out of your ass TPM.
If Ted Cruz hadn’t done his “vote your conscience” shit at the convention, Hillary would have been +1 …