Waiting for the chairs to start flying.
Eh, I’m not feeling too confident about KY. The reason being is that Clinton isn’t planning a speech. Now, that could be because she really doesn’t want to rub it in to the already perpetually aggrieved Sanders supporters and wants to appear to the general electorate like she already knew she had this thing in the bag, or it could be because she doesn’t think she’s going to win. The latter seems more likely than the former.
So far it looks close at least. Hopefully we’ll do better in Oregon tonight.
“Republican Party opted for a caucus early in the year this election cycle.”
And by opted, they blackmailed and got paid off by Paul so he could run for President, even though everyone knew his campaign would be over before it got to Kentucky, and it was.
THAT should replace the phrase “like taking candy from a baby”. Make it “like taking money from the Paul campaign”
All that matters are Jefferson and Fayette Counties. KY has 120 counties. Sanders seems to be running up his numbers in Eastern KY, coal country, land of “I hate that {clang} in the White House”. Keep your eyes on Jefferson County, Fayette, and South Western KY and Daviess County and the counties that border MO and IN.
She seems to be beating most of the models so far, even in the Eastern, Sanders counties.
I knew Eastern KY would be heavily tilted in Bernie’s favor. Those are Kim Davis Democrats, for the most part. They’re registered D so they can vote in the Democratic primary for county level offices. Above the county level races, these “Democrats” generally vote R. You already knew that. 
Since the vote is nearly all tallied from the east, that would be a promising sign for Clinton.
Yeah…DDHQ and Benchmark both seem to be pointing to Hillary winning by about 2-3 points. She is killing it in Jefferson right now, up by 10K with 51% of the votes counted just there.
Fayette is reasonably strong for Clinton as well. They’re only 8% counted.
Exactly, and we’re already seeing the same dynamic in KY as in WV where Trump supporters who are still registered Democrats are voting for Sanders.
The Republican South-Central and SE are mostly Clinton counties. The small number of registered Democrats in that area are actually Democrats.
Another barn burner. I yield to the locals as to where the votes are coming from and what that means. It sounds like Clinton is probably going to pull ahead as the night goes on. I’m curious what the polls looked like here before the election. I know earlier, it wasn’t very heavily polled. Did that change lately?
She’s ahead now, as a matter of fact.
Yep, just as I peeked back over, I saw she was 300 ahead.
And now by -3- votes. That’s the closest I’ve ever seen! Someone take a picture.
I can tell you one of the reasons why. While Sanders was appealing to college kids in Bowling Green, Rand Paul country, HRC was attending church at one of the largest black churches in the country. She attended with Rep. Yarmuth and Mayor Greg. She also happened to attend on the day that St. Stephen’s was holding joint services with Broadway Baptist Church, a white church in Louisville’s well-to-do East End. She went to the other huge black church in Louisville, Canaan Christian Church, on Sunday as well. At both churches, she received all but an endorsement from Rev. Dr. Kevin Cosby, a very prominent black pastor, and from the First Lady at Canaan. If she wins, it will probably have a whole lot to do with the fact that she keeps dancing with them what brung her.
Yep, as she ought to. That constituency has been very good to her for quite a while.
There doesn’t appear to be huge numbers of Dem primary voters in the west. Daviess County (Owensboro) has slightly heavier numbers but the ratio seems tilted toward Clinton. The rest of Jefferson and Fayette will have some extra punch because of that.
I’m curious to see how his votes look in the college towns in Western Kentucky. What’s out there? Louisville, UK and WKU?