This is a statistical tie: it is well within the margin of error. Further, the increase is tiny. All this shows is that the race is close.
Bastard Ossoff keeps mailing photos of Trump asnd Handel every day⌠and yes if your impresion of Karen Handel is that she is a pious scold you are right. And hubby is a racist too.
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She looks like a younger Paula Deen.
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Au contraireâit shows who has the momentum leading up to the election.
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Praying to the sacralicious waffle he wins.
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Helpful info:
The runoff election is scheduled for June 20, 2017.
I donât want to get too apocalyptic, but you have a pretty strong Democratic candidate running against a shitty Republican candidate, who has publicly stated she doesnât support people being able to earn enough to eat. If the Democrats canât win this one, theyâd better start worrying about whether they, as currently constructed, have any real future at all as an American political party.
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Ossoffâs ahead slightly, and Rs are worried about that, but not being talked about is that this is the most expensive congressional race in history. Osoff has raised $23 million, Handel has brought in $4.2 million, Pence and orange have been holding fundraisers for her, but assuming Osoff wins, from the moment he takes office, heâll have to start fundraising .
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A new poll by the Atlanta Journal Constitution has Ossoff up by 7 points. The cross tabs have him getting 50 percent of independents and 13 percent of republicans.
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/09/poll-jon-ossoff-karen-handel-georgia-239349
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While technically true, Iâd rather be on this side of the margin of error than the other.
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littlegirlblue
Ossoffâs ahead slightly, and Rs are worried about that, but not being talked about is that this is the most expensive congressional race in history. Osoff has raised $23 million, Handel has brought in $4.2 million, Pence and orange have been holding fundraisers for her, but assuming Osoff wins, from the moment he takes office, heâll have to start fundraising .
If he wins and takes office, Iâll send him a couple of sawbucks.
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"Almost 70,000 people have already voted in Georgiaâs 6th Congressional District, raising the possibility that early voting totals in the hotly contested June 20 runoff between Republican Karen Handel and Democrat Jon Ossoff could top 100,000 before it ends next week.
The official total as of Thursday morning was 69,559, according to data from the Georgia Secretary of Stateâs Office. That includes both in-person voting as well as absentee mail-in ballots.
A number-crunching friend sent more numbers my way last night, which help explain why early voting figures very heavily in the strategy of Democrat Jon Ossoff, but not so much in Republican Karen Handelâs plans.
In the first round of Sixth District voting on April 18, Ossoff won 48.1 percent, narrowly missing a victory without a runoff in traditionally GOP territory. Handel collected 19.8 percent, besting several Republican rivals.
But early voting in the April contest tells a different story. Ossoff won even more handily among the early, in-person voters of Cobb, Fulton and DeKalb counties, taking 62 percent. Among early voters, Ossoff even took 57 percent of the vote in Cobb, the most Republican portion of the district.
But early voting accounted for only a quarter of the April 18 vote.
Among those who cast ballots on Election Day, Ossoffâs margin fell to 42 percent, while Handelâs margin grew to 23 percent.
By county, Ossoffâs Election Day haul amounted to 36 percent in Cobb, 53 percent in DeKalb and about 40 percent in Fulton.
All of which means that Ossoffâs effort to rip the Sixth District out of GOP hands could be won or lost in the next seven days.
And Handel may have to rely on Election Day enthusiasm in the middle of what, for many voters, is their summer vacation season."
Jim Galloway AJC
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In the Big Picture, itâs great news that this race is even close, much less a dead heat.
Obviously the GOP will declare it a âhuge victoryâ even if they only win by half a percentage point. And Dems do need to score some actual wins.
But again, this race shouldnât even be close and that fact that it appears to be a dead heat (and that Ossoff may even have a slight edge), is not lost on vulnerable GOP Congresscritters on Capitol Hill.
And if Ossoff actually pulls out a win hereâŚsome of those folks may find themselves in need of an emergency underwear change on election night.
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I would add that if the Dems win the seat, not to read too much into that either, stay focused at keep the pressure on, no epic victory laps or patting oneself on the back too vigoeously
still lots of work to do
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Donald, is that you?
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Yeah, that quote was the headline on nearly every national news source that I follow. I thought it must be taken out of context, but it really wasnât. I canât believe someone with political ambitions would give that sound-bite outâŚ
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I think it matters for just that reason. The GOP is operating like theyâre not afraid of their voters, just embarrassed by Trump. Theyâll hem and haw over his bullshit, but still vote with him and the party when push comes to shove. Or, rather, they will until they get scared for their jobs. Losing a seat in Georgia will be a shot across the bow, and any Congressman not guaranteed his seat by a double digit margin will have to sit up straight and take notice.
I think youâll start seeing a lot of cracks in the GOP wall if the possibility of them losing their seats suddenly becomes real.
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Or, they might come to the conclusion that a plus 20 Republican district remains a Republican district. Not all races are winnable, and i think the biggest danger to the Democratic Party is overcorrecting.
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Yup, itâs a steep climb for sure, and anyone not taking that into account is missing a huge part of the picture. And that doesnât only apply to a close loss by the Dems, it applies equally if Dems win by a hair. A close victory by Ossoff would be a huge win. And the GOP knows it.
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This was a GOP +20 district. I would think anyone not in a, say, +30 district has to be very afraid. So far, Democrats in all of these special elections have closed the gap by 15+ points. And again these are low turnout special elections. Wait until the Charlie Dents of the world, those in blue and purple seats, are forced to defend their seats. Wait until weâre no longer playing in deep red, Republican districts and are weâre actually playing on our own turf.
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