Discussion for article #229430
This pollster is notorious for bizarre swings that make no sense. Just as this one doesn’t. The race swings 8 points in a week, with no major developments? How often does that really happen?
A reasonable conclusion? Average the two and conclude the Dem is leading by 4 or 5 – just as the broader polling average says.
16 Likes
democrats are experts at losng winnable races
1 Like
Does that make you happy? Do you like seeing racists, homophobes, and people who crap on the poor gaining power? And what are you doing to help this nation? Nothing?
16 Likes
Just for reference, the polls by New England College are also pretty much the only ones that show Scott Brown up against Jeanne Shaheen. Thought that was worth a mention.
13 Likes
The polls are so obviously unbelievable: no electorate swings, in one case I recall, by six points in a single day, without any incident accounting for it.
This is all about hitting your donors up for more cash. I’m sick of reading about clearly unscientific polling.
3 Likes
It’s over for us as Dems and liberals. According to all of the news and websites, it’s over before it has began. Why do we even need to show up? The Republicans are already measuring the drapes.
Novemeber 4 can’t get here soon enough in my opinion. Just so things can get back to normal.
I’m sick of reading about polls and how disaterous it is for Dems.
3 Likes
automated telephone poll
cough bullshit
8 Likes
I expect to see two things on November 5th.
-
The polling will show no resemblance to the actual results at all. A combination of polls only going to landlines (or mobile owners screening out calls), likely voter screens and the Dems’ GOTV efforts will mean that the results will be significantly more Democratic than the polls allowed for.
-
Resulting from 1, we will be deafened by the screams of voter fraud from the right. And of course the MSM and polling organisations will have no incentive to damp it down, because the alternative will be to admit that the polls were worthless and they got it wrong.
9 Likes
Maine has had such a good experience with a Republican governor, NH thought they’d give it a try. (I have no idea if Walt Havenstein is Paul Lepage crazy, but it seems like there are no sane republicans left in this country. So I am going to go with crazy, wingnut, tea-curious Republican.)
5 Likes
What I’m afraid you’re missing is that close poll numbers allow Republicans to steal elections. It doesn’t matter that the polls are wrong, it just matters that enough idiots think they were close.
1 Like
I love the explanation out of Chris Hayes the other night–basically, polling is nothing more than sophisticated crystal ball gazing. It’s basically worthless except that it creates self-fulfilling prophecies.
5 Likes
No, Hassan will win—and her Massachusetts counterpart will, infuriatingly (actually maybe not so infuriating, 'cause she almost deserves it), lose.
1 Like
Is it just me or has the GOTP purchased a bunch of bogus polls to release in hopes of keeping us home/get their base out? Too many of these are cropping up without a context of GOTP gain or Dem loss. Maybe I’m in denial, but I don’t think so.
6 Likes
I always thought New Englanders were supposed to be practical people with common sense.
Maybe not.
How much did Repubs. pay for this poll?
2 Likes
-
I hope you’re right.
-
I’m afraid you’re right.
1 Like
Troll harder.
Edit: As pointed out down-thread by TrumpDog, Robert1971’s comment was most likely snark.
That helps a lot. Thanks for nothing.
1 Like
This is crap. A UMass poll released yesterday has Hassan leading by 9 points. Are you just looking for the worst possible stuff to report? New England College is on track for being the worst pollster of this cycle…and that is what the consensus is on sites where reporting on the election is actually the focus, rather than this sensationalist baloney.
6 Likes