Discussion: Poll: Scott Walker's 5 Point Lead Disappeared

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Discussion for article #228875

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Time for Walker to bus in people from other states to vote for him. Isn’t that what happened last time? Now if regular working stiffs will just come out and vote in their own self-interest.

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In the past week Burke has broken ahead with independents and closed the enthusiasm gap of likely voters. That’s impressive. This is as close as most people predicted, but with two weeks to go Burke is gaining and Walker is falling. Both campaigns are targeting the 4% of undecided voters that are remaining. It’s all going to come down to turn-out. The final debate is Friday night. Newspaper endorsements will start tricking in shortly thereafter.

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on wisconsin!

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The new Marquette poll also suggests that Burke has, at the very least, not totally lost her chance to win the race in the wake of revelations that a staffer on her campaign seems to have plagiarized from other past Democratic campaigns.

Huh? This sentence is so full of wrong I don’t even know where to begin.

“This poll also suggests that Burke has, at the very least, not lost her chance to win.” I suppose that’s one way to phrase it. Another way would be to say that both candidates have a chance to win or lose. Why intentionally go for the most awkward possible syntax instead of just saying “This poll shows Burke can win”? Or “This poll shows Walker can be defeated.” Or most accurately, “This poll shows that its an incredibly close race that could go either way in the next two weeks.”

“…revelations that a staffer on her campaign seems to have plagiarized from other past Democratic campaigns.” Um, no. It wasn’t a staffer. It was a consultant. He didn’t plagiarize from other past Democratic campaigns. He copied language he himself had written for previous campaigns, without acknowledging the duplication. I suppose using the word “seems” in this context is easier than doing the slightest bit of research to accurately describe the situation, as in if I were to say that it “seems” that Daniel Strauss has no idea what he’s talking about.

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Yep, she seems to be surging at exactly the right time. I so very much want her to win. Wisconsin is and deserves so much better than Scott Walker.

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Strauss has a very bad habit of using negative phrasing for Democrats and positive phrasing for Republicans.

Back when I was a reporter, that was grounds for banishment to the obituary beat.

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The Dem wave in gubernatorial races, that the media refuses to talk about, is coming.

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Does Walker know not to bus them in from Texas? Texans have voter IDs!

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These numbers are dreadful for Walker, especially since Wisconsin is generally incredibly forgiving and supportive of incumbents.

Heading into the 2012 recall election, Walker was 6 points ahead in the MU poll two-weeks out. The MU poll wasn’t around back in 2010, but the other polling at the time showed Walker with a 6-8 point advantage two weeks out from his first election.

This is a horrible place for Walker, or any incumbent, to be at with two-weeks to go. His best chance between now and November 4 is to try to disillusion Burke supports and convince independent and undecided voters to stay home.

(Also interesting, two-weeks out from the 2012 Senate election in Wisconsin, MU had Tommy Thompson up by one-point. Tammy Baldwin kept up her momentum to ultimately win by 5 points.)

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Can you really plagarize a political campaign piece, especially when they’re on the same side? The echo chamber on the Right wouldn’t exist if they were concerned about plagarizing each other.

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Speaking of surging at the right time, how about my next senator: Michelle Nunn? A Survey USA poll today put her 3 points ahead of David “Li’l Mitt” Perdue. First time she’s been ahead of Perdue since he won the GOP runoff. She’s gotten there by hammering Li’l Mitt over his boast in a deposition as a corporate “turnaround” artist that he outsourced American jobs to foreign countries, and also with a pretty good debate performance.

I wish TPM would give the Georgia race more attention, because – even including Kansas – it’s the most likely Dem pickup, IMHO.

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This is great news. WI dems have a robust GOTV apparatus. As far as I know the GOP GOTV remains the same as always, fear and loathing broadcast 24/7.

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The new Marquette poll also suggests that Burke has, at the very least, not totally lost her chance to win the race in the wake of revelations that a staffer on her campaign seems to have plagiarized from other past Democratic campaigns.

This kind of word salad from a reporter should be grounds for termination.

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And in other election news, we have this:

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Let’s hope Walker panics over these numbers. I’m sure he’ll try to figure out some new-fangled way of disenfranchising voters to make sure he has the upper-hand in certain parts of his state. Glad they were able to have the voter ID law shot down for now by the courts. But keep a close eye on those poll watchers, Wisconsin. Something tells me you’re gonna need more poll watchers, watching other poll watchers, who are watching regular voters. And by all means, don’t take your eyes off those county officials in charge of elections either. I wouldn’t trust anyone in cahoots with Governor Wily Walker.

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Pity the poor voters in Colorado!

Not only do they have the idiot Cory Gardner running for the Senate, they’ve got this hate-filled bigoted asswipe running for a House seat.

http://www.thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/brint/gordon_klingenschmitt_won_t_meet_gay_people_without_security

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It is no longer a remote possibility that Dems plus the Indy/Dem ticket in AK will have half or more of the state houses. A good solid step towards sanity.

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Wonder if Mr. Klingenschmitt speaks Klingon too. The hostility is strong with this one. What a complete dope. For some reason, his last name reminded me of the nursery school ditty, “John Jacob Jingleheimer Schmidt”. Funny how the mind works.

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What I found briefly alarming was another headline in the lower section of the article that shrieked

"GOP Candidate Warns Gay Democratic US Congressman Will ‘Join ISIS In Beheading Christians’ "

Scared the shit outta me until my wife reminded me that we aren’t Christians.

I’m feeling better now…

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