Discussion for article #247014
Yikes.
If this bears out at the polls on Tuesday, Kasich is beyond toast.
This is a relatively good poll for Kasich. With his home-field advantage and the poor record Trump’s had recently among last-minute deciders, Kasich would now have to be considered the favorite in his home-state (538.com gives him a 61 percent chance of winning in its “Polls-Plus” forecast).
It’s pretty difficult to imagine what his route to the nomination is, however.
How so? The goal here is denying the nom to Drumpf, not winning. If Kasich ekes out a win, he blunts Drumpf’s momentum. Win. Nobody expects Kasich to get the nom.
“The PPP poll was carried out from March 4-6 by live telephone interview.”
Those landlines in Ohio are getting a workout, since the average respondent has to take a bathroom break and a nap halfway through the poll.
Kind of the point. Kasich losing to Drumpf by 3 points is not a win, seeking out to otherwise.