Discussion for article #243496
Our strongest candidate is one point ahead of Ben Carson. This isnât going to end well.
One in four Latino voters would vote for the guy who would start a race war against them? More work needs to be doneâonce Trump gets the nomination. Hillary is right to hold her fire for now.
13 Likes
The Republican field has already peaked.
11 Likes
I will bet you $1000 that if Ben Carson is the Republican nominee, Clinton will win by considerably more than 1 percentage point.
20 Likes
I have this much faith in this poll or most of the others for that matter. None. Carson has a 1% chance of winning the nomination, but Rubio will win it with 41%. The Democratic candidate will be Clinton who has a 58% chance of beating the R nominee whoâll get 42% of the vote. And Iâd bet more than $1,000. on that outcome.
3 Likes
For whatever reason the Marist head to head matchups have been fairly far off from all the other polls. The last one had her at +15 over Trump. If you remove Marist polls from the pollster head to head, sheâs only up on him by like 1.5.
Interested to see who wins the polling game this season. There seems to be quite a bit of divergence between pollsters this year.
1 Like
Already peaked? This is one poll from MSNBC/Telemundo that has Hillary up by a point of two against everyone but Trump and all of sudden it is over.
What about he CNN poll that has the exact opposite? The Quinnipiac that shows the exact opposite? The Fox poll that shows the exact opposite?
You are willing to bet a $1000 that Hillary will beat Rubio 58-42. I will take that bet right now. I will even give you a two point margin of error and bet your $100 against my $1000. Neither the Democrat nor the Republican will get less than 47%. The only recent election where that GOP nominee received less than 47% was McCain during the worse political environment for the GOP since Watergate.
Cubans, surely.
1 Like
She is making her case and doing it well. The fact that the media gives her less than nothing is shocking, but the people will notice eventually. Today in the NYT her remarks on asking Silicon Valley to âdisruptâ ISIS were below the foldâabove was some dumb speculation about Rubio and his changing campaign.
The Times did, however, give her a great op-ed on what she plans to do to clean up Wall Street.
1 Like
Believe what you want. See ya in November.
7 Likes
Call me dense if you must, but I donât understand âneither will get less than 47%.â People who lay down money are currently betting on her getting 58% and the R getting 42%. If itâs Rubio, heâs very, very flawed as a candidate and as a human being, and you may say sheâs flawed too. But she has the most political acumen in the field as well the smartest candidate in the field and will tear him a new one when the discussion turns to Middle East affairsâŚ
14 Likes
To repeat, polls anymore are BS used to massage certain POVs, like smart phone relayed ânewsâ from certain apps is building unnecessary product anxiety to push sales.
Reporting is shockingly bad. I just overheard someone on cable say the military thinks Sundayâs Obama address signals increased military actionâŚya think? Maybe all those foreign leader huddles and trips were signs, tooâŚmaybe? Lot of jet contrails yesterdayâŚIraqi bomber drones? Maybe?
4 Likes
The numbers are strong with the littlegirlblue. I love it. I still donât see how Rubio wins a primary state in time to pick up the mo and the delegates. He loses the first four, and he isnât as strong as Cruz in the South and Southwest. Where does he win? And he has to win states- he canât be a national figure without picking up states. Which ones does he win?
3 Likes
Realize that whoever is the GOP nominee will be doing lots and lots of high profile appearances and debates with Clinton. Ask yourself whether or not any of these candidates will be able to withstand the scrutiny of a general election campaign when more people are paying attention and the outrage fatigue of covering a GOP primary will have passed. Remember Romneyâs 47% comment? It would have done zero damage to him during the primary season (and I mean as a general election candidate). Why? Because few people paid attention then. But to make that mistake in late summer? When everybody is watching? Big problem. This is why the GOP Establishment is freaking out, honestly. They need somebody who can at least stay on message in some coherent way. Rubio is the only guy who remotely looks like a Presidential contender and can complete a sentence. But heâs a serious lightweight and will get smoked and embarrassed. Polls wonât show that now.
10 Likes
Vegas awaits, marine. They would love for you put your money down. Time was, before your kind scared off everyone but your kind, the races were about dead even. We still won 5 out of 6, but you made it look close because you werenât so obtuse and misdirected. But not anymore. The train has already left the station and you are still in the bath stall trying to find whatever it is that you use to relieve yourself. Hasta, baby.
4 Likes
I was terrible at math in school, but I know user friendly numbers when I see them.
1 Like
With HRC leading everyone in the republican field based on
this poll AOLs headline was "Clinton most likely to lose to 2 GOP candidates
in 2016â. Itâs amazing with kind of anti
HRC media bias she is still up
4 Likes
What I read at AOL was this
Hillary Clinton leads in 2016 match-ups as Ben Carson, Marco Rubio run closest
Nevertheless, itâs bullshit.
2 Likes