FOX: Trump is not worried as The Second Amendment, along with The Putin are looking after him. WikiLeaks will assist as well.
This seems closer in FL than recent national and state polls suggest. For example, if the recent Georgia polls are correct that Hillary is from a few points down to 7 points ahead, she should be more than a point ahead in FL where there is a much larger % of Latina votes than in Georgia.
I see that fivethirtyeight rates Quinnipiac polls highly, but also with a slight GOP bias of .7%
Doesn’t Quinnipiac tend to lean Republican?
It’s safe to assume Trump is now running worse than these numbers show. The sampling period for these polls started on day one of Trump’s five-day freakout over Khizr Khan, so they don’t capture the full impact.
ETA: It’s safe to assume Trump will be running even worse in the days ahead as people absorb his call for Second Amendment remedies.
Nate Silver has adjusted the Florida poll, has Clinton up by 3%. I think it is more like 5%.
Nate also has adjusted Ohio poll so that Clinton is up by 5%.
God damn I’m starting to think she’s going to win every fucking state the rate he’s going down hill. Hallefuckingluya. Kind of make sense though as I really think the only people that will seriously vote for him are a small majority or maybe only largest group of wacko white males and a smattering of non-white males and females.
Just curious: are Stein and Johnson on the ballot in these three states? Seems like they must be, but who knows?
Yes. Slightly. See my post same time as yours.
Considering the recent polls out of Georgia have had her ahead, she may flip a few red states.
I can’t wait till Texas finally gives up the ghost, turns purples, and votes Clinton. Even Ted Cruz’ oil-slick hair will spontaneously combust. I might even shout my first “yeeee-hhhaaawww.”
you little devil. are you unskewing?
Was this the poll he saw right before he went out to give a speech inciting his (second amendment) people to take out Hilary Clinton?
Unfucking believable.
Only way Trump is -1 in FL is if the poll is being conducted at gunpoint by George Zimmerman.
DONALD DUCKS THE DEBATES!!
It needs to be a meme so viral that Foster Friess starts a charity to cure it.
I can believe that he could do well in Fla. based on the large senior vote. He reminds me of of men in my moms retirement community. They’re funny and blustery in their everything sucks now way, except that they’re not running for president. I think a lot of older people are comfortable with him because he feels familiar in that way. My mom just likes him and doesn’t really pay much attention to what he’s actually saying.
Romney won 39% of the Hispanic vote in FL and still lost the state in 2012. Recent polls shows Trump getting just 17% of the same FL voting bloc, and the number of Hispanic voters nationwide has increased from 23.7 million to 27.7 million or 17% more since the 2012 election; and so, if there are 17% more Latina FL voters and Trump is getting less than half of the 39% that Romney got while losing, it is hard to imagine Trump winning the state.
Translation: Jill Stein and her fake Green “Party” might actually swing the election to Trump.
In Ohio, probably, but not yet. In fact, the Libertarians have Charlie Earl listed on their petitions with the intention of replacing him with Johnson.