Itās clear that only quality phone polls like this one show the actual state of the race. As with fivethirtyeight.com, internet polls are only decent for determining trend as opposed to absolute spread. simply put, larger internet poll sample sizes do not overcome the sampling bias excluding categories of likely voters more predisposed in general to Clinton than Trump. Even if they weight based on demographics.
Polls are driving me nuts. Trumpās up. Clintonās up. I should probably stop paying attention to polls.
Nice trend lines,lets keep 'em goingā¦
I tell myself that every day! And every day I check the polls ā¦
Republicans who rushed to embrace Trumpās toxic campaign during what appears to have been a transient surge will now have to wear that albatross around their necks.
Not bad for a candidate on her death bed. I guess we can cancel the funeral, eh, miserable CONS?
Iām going to enjoy watching the Clinton/Obama commandos chop the Trump family and their merry band of sociopaths, fanatics, grifters, and thieves into chum.
I remember when Elizabeth Warren told Clintonās staff, āDonāt screw this up.ā I thought it seemed a bit rude. Now, every day, dozens of times a day, I am thinking the very same thing.
Polls will make you nuts. And after the debate Monday night we will be getting more polls. Iām following the electoral vote count at 538 mostly.
The most meaningful polls will be the ones that come out after the first debate. That debate will be the first time the two candidates can be evaluated directly. If it was a normal debate based in facts, Clinton would win it in the first ten minutes, because Trump canāt touch her knowledge. With the Trump factor, and his ability to pour out lies, itās a bit more of a question how it will goā¦though I suspect Clinton has a plan to confront him on that. In any case, that set of polls will likely tell us who will win in November.
The poll aligns to the state polls weāve seen this week: PA +8-+9; NH+9; FL: 2 polls at +5; WI: +3 to +5. NC: -1, -2, 0. I had a hunch when I watched Clinton speak in FL today. She didnāt mention or allude to Trump until the end ālove trumps hateā punch line.
This I believe. And Iām glad to see it, to put it mildly.
Yo tambien!! ja ja!!!
Polls are showing trends. Thatās good news. They also wonāt show the effects of GOTV or lack thereof. The poll I trust most is the exit poll, and even that has had bad moments.
Unfortunately the tossup state polls are hair-raising. Currently Nevada and Ohio are Trumpās. All he has to do is win Florida and North Carolina, which are pretty much dead heats, and heās president. Yep, itās that close.
Presidential debates need to be pitched at two levels simultaneously, the same way a good Disney movie has jokes and parts of the plot pitched at kids, and others at their parents. One debate level is based on policy, and clearly Clinton is going to smash Trump there. The other is based on ālooking presidentialā and ādo I want a beer with this personā and ādo they sound toughā and other lightweight idiocy; Clintonās problem in these things is that sheās not super charismatic. That said, Iāve read that Clinton has psychologists prepping her with just how to needle someone with Trumpās psychiatric issuesā¦ and if that is true, it could be amazing, since he canāt help himself from blowing up when his ego gets pinched.
This was entirely predictable. Hillary was certain to rebound from her bout of pneumonia and Trump was equally sure to overreach because a couple of polls showed him ahead. Polls always lag current events a bit but it seems that reality has kicked in after all.
Thank you because thatās how I see this poll.