Discussion: McConnell Threatens To Hold Kavanaugh Hearing Right Before Midterms

Interesting development: https://www.politico.com/amp/story/2018/07/19/one-nation-ad-joe-manchin-733151
Inquiring minds and all.

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Of course. :smile:

Traitor Turtle trying to get tumbreled. First the CSA, now Russia, eh, Mitch? And you’re apparently hoping that the Traitor-in-Chief will return the favor, after you give him a SCOTUS Shill who will keep his fat orange ass out of prison? Good luck with that.

Fine, except that it doesn’t work that way. All Representatives are up for election every two years, but the House is not involved in Senate confirmation hearings so no Republicans or Democrats will be kept off the campaign trail by Senate hearings.

There are 33 Senate seats up for (re)election in 2018, 24 Democrats (including 2 Independents) and 9 Republicans, so considerably more Democrats than Republicans will be kept off the campaign trail by Senate hearings in October. In addition, there are 2 special elections to fill vacated Senate seats, one in Minnesota and one in Mississippi. Consider this a wash.

So there is definitely an advantage to the Republicans by keeping the Senators up for reelection in Washington in the last month of the campaign since the Democrats have to defend 24 seats while the Republicans only have to defend 9.

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What, isn’t your morale devastated by the very thought?

One begins to see how the prospect not having a reliable ideologue beholden to him personally on the Court would be making McConnell a little frantic, however.

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The power this POS wields is obscene. When, oh when, can we have another LBJ as majority leader…

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That’s our Mitch.

Bringing a flintlock to a machine-gun fight.

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But her emails.

Do we have any photos of McConnell dancing in the moonlight with the adorable Mariia Butina?

Or accepting bags of money from the adorable Paul Erikson?

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On the other hand, if they can install another fascist swine onto the SC, we are screwed.

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Do it, Turtle. See who wins the narrative.

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give JJ Cale’s “The Problem” a listen.

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“Vulnerable R state Dems” would include Manchin, Heitkamp, and Donnelly. I think it’s clear we’ve lost Manchin who’s probably the most vulnerable and so the most afraid. The other two are not reliable either. But it’s anybody’s guess what they’re thinking as they do the dance of being Ds in R states.

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You’re right. The Rs beginning with Grass are secure but Cruz may not be.

Chuck Grassley, Iowa, Chairman
Orrin Hatch, Utah
Lindsey Graham, South Carolina
John Cornyn, Texas
Mike Lee, Utah
Ted Cruz, Texas
Ben Sasse, Nebraska
Jeff Flake, Arizona
Mike Crapo, Idaho
Thom Tillis, North Carolina
John Neely Kennedy, Louisiana

Recent polling shows Manchin in the lead over his GOP challenger.
A Trump-allied PAC has just pulled anti-Manchin ads from WV television stations.

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I’m not sure this is true. Candidates are only part of every campaign. And they’re mostly scripted. If their talking point for every phone-in, video interview, recorded appearance etc is that they’re staying in Washington to protect the nation’s interests while republicans get to play games, it’s a message that will energize democratic voters – and likely at lower cost than a traditional campaign.

Manchin’s up in polling, but when I say we’ve lost Manchin, I mean in the sense that he remains an unreliable vote on D issues and has unapologetically expressed support for trump and voted 60% on proposals in line with his.

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In 2020 there will be more Rs up for re-election than Ds, and that includes Turtle himself. The goddess of payback is a bitch. That’s all.

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Point taken.

But as I’ve said over and over—this year, the worst Democrat is better than the best Republican.

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They pushed Kennedy out so that they could get (>insert Leonard Leo pick here<) confirmed and seated before the Oct 1st start date for this year’s Supreme Court session.

That was ALWAYS the plan.

The GOP got its ass handed to it in the 2006 midterms, after Katrina exposed the GOP incompetence that was the Cheney/W show.
The GOP has spent 12 years, starting with RedMap in 2010, through Scalia, et al’s gutting of the Voting Rights Act, the immediately-following series of Voter Registration barriers thrown up in red states afterwards, right up to the Sup Ct’s punt on gerrymandering on Kennedy’s way out the door, all to suppress the vote and prevent another 2006.
But McConnell isn’t taking any chances, so will get this seat filled now, even if McCain comes back and he and some other R create a tie, requiring ‘Hoosier Daddy’ to cast the deciding vote.
Ugly, thy name in Republican.

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