This article is everywhere and nowhere. AP could issue an equally drifting examination into the debate over the glass being half-full or half-empty.
While we are presented with (yet another) horserace teasing article, there is no mention of methodology that would support any of these shifting claims.
But then, it is an AP article. It is not really a shocker to read such mushy drivel from this news organization.
Remember when everyoneâand I do mean everyoneâthought Ed Gillespie had pulled even with (and possibly ahead of) Ralph Northam at the end of the Virginia governorâs race last year, and then Northam won by 9 points?
Maybe we all should just wait until the votes are fully counted.
Republican enthusiasm doesnât quite equal the white-hot enthusiasm of Democratic voters, but the Kavanaugh hearings got it pretty close
I have a hard time believing that the Kavanaugh hearings fired up Republican women, especially those with any higher education.
Plus itâs really the Independents who will make the decisions on Nov 6. Where is the comment on their enthusiasm?
My first thought when I saw the headline is that it must be another AP article. Maybe it will scare the Dems and Independents to get out and vote.
âHey, is there an election coming up.â
âYeah, in about two weeks.â
âGreat â cue the âDemocrats in Disarrayâ story.â
Trump won white women handily in 2016, and thatâs after it was clear he was a misogynist who bragged of sexual assault. The gender gap came from strong participation of women of color.
I agree the article is crap, but we need to be honest with ourselves that when we talk about the womenâs vote, among the white portion of that populace (which is the vast majority of Republican women) we are not necessarily getting a majority.
And there is a simple reason for that. Democrats (like most here) believe that votes are give for PERSONS. Votes are given, primarily, for PARTY, and the PERSON is much less important.
The only time that is wrong is when votes are given AGAINST a person, which accounts for many votes against HRC. I donât vote for dynasties. I donât vote for the Second Coming of the House of Clinton (Chelsea will not be elected to big offices). Trump may be denied a second term on this basis. That will more likely happen in a primary, which I think he will face.
A lot of white women voted for the selection of Kavanaugh. That is, they wanted a Republican to pick the SCOTUS. Thatâs more important to many Rs than the name of the POTUS.
538 shows the Dems at 85.8%, which has held steady for several days now. Where is the shift they are talking about? It is a shame that a large, once highly respected news organizations has resorted to writing drivel, presumably as click bait.
Gosh, I early-voted, and didnât vote at any time for the âgeneric candidateâ. I voted for a specific person. All of this âgeneric Democratâ shit is so much shit. It is an indicator, but each race is unto itself. Of the House races, 400 are decided already. Only 35 or so are undecided. Of the Senate seats, only 2-3 are not decided yet.
Open-border Dems, like Beto and Sinema, are being destroyed by the caravan, and will lose because of it. Dems nationally need to decide: Am I in favor of the invasion of the US (that is, am I a traitor), or am I in favor of strong borders (that is, am I not a traitor)?
If Dems canât decide this, or say that all these peourrrr peoples gets to come to the US, Trump wins again in 2020.
Perhaps. OR, it may just create a sense of hopelessness among apathetic Dems who wouldnât have voted anyway.
As some many others here have said, as soon as I got into the first para., I knew it was an AP hit piece.
The Tennessee Senate contest, in particular, has shifted sharply in Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburnâs direction in recent weeks, while Democratic pickup opportunities in Arizona and Nevada are now considered toss-ups. In a measure of the deep uncertainty that has defined the Trump era, only one Democratic incumbent â North Dakotaâs Heidi Heitkamp â is seen as most in danger of losing.
Strangely, this sounds like it could have been written in 2017. Now, - nope. Thereâs quite a bit of momentum with most of the Dem Senators. Iâm not saying that weâll take the Senate; I never thought that. But, it is possible we hold all of our seats.
I am volunteering for a Dem campaign outside of DC in a âsafeâ Democratic area. One of the people who is at the office told me that MANY of the liberal women who used to be volunteers that the party could count on are NOT supporting Dems this time around.
They confided in this person that they are angry about Kavanaugh and how the Dem leadership handled it.
Before you flip your lids, bear with meâŚI think we cannot afford to dismiss this.
I asked this person if it was about their sons.
No, I was told, their husbands.
They are worried that someone will accuse their husbands of something he did 30-35 years ago and he will lose his job.
I donât know if this is just a DC area thing? Or if it is even something that women who feel this way will talk about?
But, I think this is realâŚwomen (even highly educated women) who are afraid they will lose their social standing, their family will be affected, etcâŚby accusations of sexual assault (or impropriety) of the breadwinner/man of the house.
False accusations are real. Morning-after reinterpretations of events are real. And the notion that someone today should be held responsible for what they did 35 years which does not involve a police report is not just real, it is evil.
I believe you have identified something important. Getting revenge after 35 years is not a positive. Itâs a horrible development that will bite Dems in the butts.
# metoobacklash
Fair enough. Did you believe Juanita Broaddrick? Please be honest.
Not at the time. I have re-evaluated things. Clinton swindled many into ignoring the clear statements of many who he assaulted. I lost the friendship of women who hated Clinton for his âbimbo eruptionsâ. Today, I would not give him a pass. Itâs not one woman. Itâs the pattern, which involved 5-6 women for him - like Cosby.
ââŚbut we need to be honest with ourselves that when we talk about the womenâs vote, among the white portion of that populace (which is the vast majority of Republican women)â
What you just wrote makes no sense. We donât need a majority of White women, anyway. We only need some of them, and those will predominately be Independents.
Queue the âhorseraceâ.
Hmm, how does that explain thisâŚ