An early prediction: Hillary will win Indiana by double-digits; after which Sanders will move the goalposts by just a little bit more than that.
***UPDATE: Based on internal polling (myself and my two Aussie cattle dogs), we can now project that Hillary will win tonight’s primary with 100% of the vote.
***UPDATE #2: Based on a review of posts by all the Bern-outs over at the Great Orange Satan, we can also confidently project that there is a 100% chance that Sanders supporters will once again dominate turnout in the whining, crying, and throwing rattles out of their cribs categories.
***UPDATE #3: Guess I should have included the neighbor’s cats in the polling – looks like a close race. But Sanders needed a 20-30-point win to “win” tonight, and that isn’t happening.
It’s extremely early (only about 1% of returns are in while I’m writing this) but what’s interesting about these early returns is that Clinton appears to be winning throughout the state. Normally, Sanders does well in rural areas while Clinton wins in the big cities, but that doesn’t appear to be the trend so far in Indiana. We’ll see if things continue that way as more returns come in.
ABC calls IN for Trump. Oh, the shock of it all. Where’s my fainting couch?
Looks like gop is saddling itself up on tramp to ride off into oblivion.
Gosh, I’ll miss the stupid.
I’m really hoping Cruz stays in until the convention – with every passing day, his odds of getting punched in the face go up significantly.
Fascinating data from Nate Silver.
Cruz goes from commanding and growing lead in Indiana to a tremendous loss in most likely April 28 to May 1, which would be explained by Bohner’s comparison to Lucifer and calling the man an SOB.
The reality is, anything but a blowout by Bernie is actually a loss. He is too far behind to catch up unless we see blowouts of 30%. I wouldn’t ever attempt to predict anything in this crazy election cycle, but as more states vote and there is no blowout there is no real path to the nomination.
Open primary states do seem to be more difficult to predict.
Good point – my Aussie cattle dogs failed to account for the non-Democrats voting in the Democratic primary. This is why Aussie cattle dog polling is notoriously fickle.
[quote=“reggid, post:10, topic:37109”]
This is why Aussie cattle dog polling is notoriously fickle.
[/quote]never been a fan of the Aussie cattle dog…I like a pitbull…much more trustworthy and mine is sayin Hillery is going down tonight!!!
If Bernie doesn’t win by a lot he’s likely going down in the end. So, enjoy whatever you can, it just doesn’t seem that a Democratic nomination is in Bernie’s future. Bernie has to win 68% of the remaining delegates. A win by a few percentage points on either side doesn’t change much of anything except that there are fewer delegates available to win.
Even Nate Silver seems to have a difficult time predicting the open primaries. He’s dead on everywhere else, but not in an open primary.
Looks like I also forgot to include the douchebag trolls in my poll – thanks for helping out in that regard, ranger.
What it does change is that Hillary must remain WAY left and spend more dough in the process! That does not bode well by any analysis moving forward…By all indications Bernie is in it to win it!!!
He wont, but without an immediate withdrawal, Hillary bleeds daily…
Anything I can do little buddy…Im here for ya son! Salute’
Benchmark called it for Sanders a couple of minutes ago.
I think i’m feelin the Bern! I think I like it!
At this rate, it will wrap up with Sanders net +3 delegates.
Update: Their margin call with 43% reporting, Sanders 52.5% - Clinton 47.5%.
You aren’t feeling the Cruuuuz tonight? That’s strange 