So thrilled to hear about Rep. Bishop in Michigan. We’re going to change our delegation from 9-4 GOP to 7-7. And just as importantly, we’re going to end gerrymandering in Michigan via ballot measure in November. Here’s my crazy district:
As a result, she won 78% and 79% of the vote in the last two elections, ensuring that tons of Democratic voters wouldn’t count in other districts. That’ll change after November.
Oh that they eliminate former local talk radio jock Jason Lewis in Minnesota! He’s a one-termer by only a 1% margin. 5-termer Erik Paulson is as good as toast. His campaign committee has been running only negative ads in a district HRC won handily. Add 2 to the flipped seats tally.
A Trump-affiliated super-PAC is running ads for Bishop, so the loss of NRCC money may not be critical>
Interesting about Comstock. Several heavy hitters had been scheduled to campaign for her–Kevin McCarthy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan. Have they backed out as well?
Yoder is facing attorney and former mixed martial arts fighter Sharice Davids in the seat. If she wins, which now looks likely, she’ll become the first Native American woman and only the second openly gay woman ever to be elected to Congress.
This is the true face of Kansas. Following the footsteps of Charles Curtis, formerly the 1st Native American elected to the US Senate, and the only Native American elected as VP of the United States. Shining Kansas bright!
Comstock is a curse word to me. One of Ken Starr’s minions in the anti-Clinton, Kavanaugh-employing vast right-wing conspiracy. That she finally was rewarded with a Congressional nomination and then election is a mark of how corrupt the GOP was well before Trump. Kavanaugh’s proposed elevation continues the pattern.
So where is this dramatic war chest the opposition is supposed to be so afraid of?
And if they’ve left six out, where are they going with that dramatic war chest?
Is there any indication of their bigger donors abandoning the NRCC, given the reputation they’ve shown publicly?
You live in the district I grew up in for the first 18 years of my life, though it was never this badly cut up when I lived there. Btw, I’m from Oak Park originally. You?
Michiganders…Vote YES on Proposal 2 …and Democratic candidate Jocelyn Benson for Secretary of State that will oversee the commission if the proposal gets approved. This seems to me to be almost as important to insure fairness of the process.
I think it’s pretty amazing that the Dems have a reasonably plausible shot at winning a majority of the Kansas congressional delegation. I think we have a better than 50% chance of winning 2 seats, and a less than 50% chance of winning 3.
When you’re triaging seats like KS 3 and MI-08, you’re not doing it because there are 30-40 seats at risk. You’re doing it because there are 80-100 seats at risk.
I hope you are correct about the true face of Kansas. Electing Davids and Kelly for governor is crucial. The polls I have seen are close. Yoder has lots of money and support from Koch bros and the like so I think he is still very much in the game. That said, GO SHARICE!
If the democrats can win 50% of the Kansas delegation, I agree that the GOP will be losing well over 60 seats this November. I am not going to count on this though, because they have the same built in machinery from 2016 to keep people from voting.
Nothing keeps people from voting except people choosing not to vote. The GOP can slow us down but they can’t stop us if we flood the zone and vote Dem. You can’t have 6% voting 3rd party with most of that coming out of potential Dem voters and win. That won’t happen this year. The other thing the Republicans can’t do is cage our vote. This year, we are strategically positioned to get a high rate of return on polling in terms of winning actual seats. We’re dominating in the suburban areas and that means we’re very competitive in a lot of districts that we otherwise wouldn’t be. It’s causing the GOP gerrymander wall to crack. They have spread their vote out too thinly. We’re going to do better than we did in 2006. I think we’ll approach GOP levels in '94 and '10.
I’d like to tattoo this across every Democrats forehead. Yes, the GOP throws up hurdle after hurdle, but your job as a voter is to jump over those hurdles or they will never be removed. If voters in states where the GOP is trying to block voting actually came out and voted they could get rid of the people attempting to block them from voting. It’s that simple.
OH-1 is one of the places they are spending in a big (yoooge!) way.
Aftab Puraval (D) is giving the worse-than-useless Steve Chabot the campaign for his (Chabot’s) political life. The RCCC and the RNC are spending like there’s no tomorrow. I’m sick to death of the negative ads running on both sides, but (as is usual) the GOPs ads are awful: Puraval wants to take away your Medicare and triple your income taxes to pay for it. Puraval was employed (by a lobbying firm in D.C.) for a period (between his undergrad degree and his JD).
Puraval’s negative ads at least focus on Chabot’s ineffectiveness in Congress.
I can’t wait for this to be over.
You know they know it’s bad when they’re pulling the plug on Kansas Republicans.
Yoder is still well funded and is receiving a lot of money from a couple of billionaire pacs. We can’t forget about Davis just yet. She is still in the battle. She still needs our help. Fortunately for all of us Yoder sucks as a Congressman and has absolutely no program to help his district.
I agree on this. Most votes for Orman will be siphoned from Republicans who can’t bring themselves to vote for a Democrat, yet cannot vote for Kobach, either. Dems in Kansas are all in for Kelly.
Wow, the possibility that a gay female Native American martial arts expert may win a KS Congressional race blows my mind. I have been depressed by what is happening in my home state for years but this gives me hope. Maybe enough Kansans are finally coming to their senses and they can make it a decent place to live again, assuming that the blue wave happens at all levels.
Please tell me she has a Black Belt.
Here in Houston there is now a huge amount of Republican money going into attack ads by Rep. Culberson and Ted Cruz. Culberson is a Republican in a district that Clinton carried.
One of the local TV news broadcasts has probably 10 Culberson attack ads per 30 minute broadcast. Sometimes they go back to back.
The ads are as nasty and untruthful as any I’ve seen over the last 30 years.