From on the ground in Iowa. They love him just the way he is.
“He’s getting responses; things are happening,” Jerry Retzlaff, a retiree, said. “He got Congress to turn themselves around with one tweet.”
“There’s no secret the press doesn’t like him, and neither does a lot of the leadership,” he added. “And that’s because he’s planning on making a lot of changes.”
Here’s the deal. His approval could go up simply due to regression to the mean. In any kind of statistical time series there is always random fluctuation of observed values around the secular trend.
In statistics, regression toward (or to) the mean is the phenomenon that if a variable is extreme on its first measurement, it will tend to be closer to the average on its second measurement—and if it is extreme on its second measurement, it will tend to have been closer to the average on its first.
Nevertheless, his current values are far from auspicious.
Well, those deplorable Trump supporters with beer bellies and hateful epithets did one thing that a lot of those Trump-disapproving folks did not do— they voted.
Good point. We can assured there is a hard core group of probably 30-40% that love him and always will blame the “Clinton News Network” and libruls for their crop failures but that doesn’t win you an election.
Don’t think the Trump people don’t know that 9-11 was what boosted Bush2 after he lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. Don’t think they don’t know that Reagan invaded Grenada to get the death of the 238 marines in Beirut off the front pages (back when that mattered). The problem is that Trump doesn’t have the skills or empathy to appeal to a majority of Americans much less to actually handle a crisis properly.