40% is hell of a low number for incumbent. Rosen is largely unknown. I’ll just go on record and say Heller is completely toast.
OMG to see Marsha Blackburn lose would be an extra early XMas gift. Please please please Santa…
As far as I’m concerned, Democrats need to win the Senate even more so than the House. I think it’s more than doable, and I still think there may be a Republican Senate seat or two that may wind up being far more competitive than we ever imagined. That’s why we need to fight like hell for every last seat. Leave nothing to chance.
Having the House would be grand, but the Senate would be more useful in terms of being able to vote down bad nominees and, more importantly, even be able to protect SCOTUS in the event of an early/unexpected resignation (Republicans have cleared the way for it to happen so we don’t have to confirm a new nominee until after the next election)
Bredesen is well-liked down here. He was a popular Governor and manages to straddle Democratic/Republican divides. He has more than a fair shot to take the seat. Blackburn is a Trumpster hugger and Trump’s popularity is waning, likely get worse. Good news on the Nevada race and head-spinning report that Texas could actually be in play. The Arizona election last night was lost by a 5 pt margin in an area that the GOP carried by 20+ points in 2016. I read that was with a 31% turnout. Makes me feel almost positive. Don’t want to get too optimistic for fear of jinxing the outcome 
I hear you on not wanting to jinx things…so I’ll just report dispassionately that the wonks watching last night say that this Arizona result may be the most foreboding yet for the GOP: Arpaio won that district by the same margin when he lost his – countywide? – race, and that – county? – is apparently the reddest in the state. (Apologies to Dave Wasserman or whoever else made that observation last night for not getting it more precisely; it was very late and I was stupid.) So I’m dispassionately avoiding getting too hopeful – or trying to, anyway…
I don’t share that confidence, down here in FL. NV, AZ, and even TN and TX are looking very possible, but its places like FL, MT, MO, IN that have me worried.
But will Trumpster start a war in October if things continue to look this grim?
If we can’t take that Nevada seat,we don’t deserve a Senate majority.
Dems need every seat to put the brakes on packing courts. I see this as a under reported stories considering how long lasting the effects are.
Roll Blue Tide!
In a wave election all sorts of good things can happen.
Unfortunately, this usually means the Democrats maintain a broad base that keeps them from getting through their most popular policies. At this point, the Republicans are the Silly Party, so having them out of the majority would be a blessing, but that still doesn’t ensure moving legislative priorities.
Pardon me -
But how would THAT scenario HELP repugnicans in the mid-terms?
You kidding? In a time of crisis, people rally around the flag/president, even when the President is blatantly unqualified.
Without it,we won’t take the Senate back.
And he’s not only packing the courts, he’s packing the courts with a whole batch of ignoramuses and religious extremists (probably handpicked by religious rocket science chief Pence) whom are clearly unqualified for sitting on any bench.
I’d rather have the House honestly, the idea of Trump going four years with zero oversight is pretty horrifying.
And, when we get our next Democrat in office, they’ll almost certainly choose centrist candidates because…comity!