Discussion: Dems Aim To Score Another Big Special Election Upset Deep In Trump Territory

Good.

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Republicans are pulling out the big guns on Thursday: A visit from President Trump himself

Gun? Isn’t that more like dropping a live hand grenade in your bunker?

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Unsure of terms of service here so not posting former Marine Conor Lamb’s website but I did send him a few spare shekels this morning.

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â™Ș♫ Runnin’ scared, runnin’ scared â™Ș♫

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It worked for Roy Moore!

NAWT!

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This doesn’t endorse anyone but tells you everything you ever wanted to know about PA’s 18th
https://ballotpedia.org/Pennsylvania’s_18th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2018

This is deep Trump Country, specially gerrymandered to split Pittsburgh with rural votes. 81.6% white and 89.2 high school only. This is the district that gave us Rick Santorum.

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From the AP story on this race:

Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in the district by about 70,000, a reflection of organized labor’s long influence in the district.

Yet 


Democrats aren’t exactly countering with exuberance. At the national party’s House campaign headquarters, spokeswoman Meredith Kelly praised Lamb’s “long record of public service to our country.” But the party hasn’t included the 18th District on its official list of GOP-held targets, which now includes 91 seats.

WTF are they thinking? They should be challenging ever single race. Every. Single. Race.

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Last two elections they didn’t even bother to field a candidate.

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Here is the page to donate directly to Conor Lamb’s campaign.

We live on the edge here at TPM! :wink:

@teenlaqueefa, feels like Tramp himself pulled the pin, tossed the live grenade into the GOP bunker and the 'pubs are all falling over themselves to throw their own body on it to curry favor with the Orange Shitgibbon.

Please proceed


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Good article, but a bit heavy, in my view, on the horse-race tone. Losing as striking fear in the hearts of Republicans is hardly a nuanced observation of a multifaceted group of issues. Better to ask Toomey and others just why they are in trouble, etc.

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“Democrats have landed a top-notch recruit in Conor Lamb, a 33-year-old former Marine and federal prosecutor whose family is a Democratic powerhouse in the Pittsburgh area.”

That alone proves the demographics are shifting, whether we win or not.

Smart Dems in the past simply would not defy the Republican odds and run for ANYTHING in some of these areas. It didn’t mean there were no GOOD Democrats to run, it was just that they knew what a futile gesture it would be in the pre-Trump Republican ether.

The simple fact that they now feel confident enough to at least make that run is a canaray in the coal mine for Republicans, just as surely as the recent upset elections.

And it is nationwide. Certainly there are still stubbornly red territories, but Trump’s debauchery and deceptiveness have eaten away their moral certitudes. Their ability to maintain that HUGE running lie is nearly exhausted. Except for the Trump cultists, many of them are quietly and ashamedly staying away from the ballot box.

They won’t admit it but they will avoid it because it is the only way to square their delusions with the reality they now suffer under The Orange Pretender.

Every day, their stubborn certitudes are being exposed as just that.

Win or lose in this election, just the fact we’re offering excellent candidates is a quantum leap that proves the blue shift is underway.

We already won this thing.

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After he’s done testifying on Capitol Hill maybe Steve Bannon’ll make a swing through the district.

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Issues like health care should be paramount in looking at such races. How many people in this district would have lost healthcare insurance had the House had its way? How many have been affected lately? It’s more than fear on the part of Republicans. It’s unpopular policies that hit home. The Affordable Care Act was around long enough to prove its mettle, and that the healthcare system could accommodate it.

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“It’s just another example of how Trump snares everyone who comes into contact with him, into his whirlpool of lies.”

Trump is a political black hole.

The first thing he sucked up was the Republican pretense that they are the moral majority.

Without that thin shell of arrogant self righteousness, what are they to themselves and each other?

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The Cobalt Tsunami!!!

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there’s one of the keys to Republican success
 pairing stubborn rural Republicans with gated communities in the suburbs into single, geographically distorted voting blocs
 salamanders with seven legs.

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It seems that creating districts that are so gerrymandered they are guaranteed to be red has the Republicans elected in those districts more afraid of their primary than general election.

As such, they are forced to make votes that your general decent human being would find abhorrent. This is why even with these gerrymandered districts many are predicting the Democrats will take back the house.

It is similar to the pendulum swing that we see with the presidency. After 8 years of George W bush hardly being able to put together a sentence we elected Barack Obama who is one of the most gifted public speakers of Our Generation. This also explains how we went from our first black president to an open racist who again opposite of his predecessor can hardly put together a coherent sentence.

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NOT Possible, the NYT and Morning Joe have spent all morning telling me that Trump’s people will still vote for him AND dems are running scared in 2018 because of the Tax Cuts which are ticking up in popularity (according to survey monkey)
although still massively unpopular :rage:

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