Discussion for article #229857
The perfect close to a rotten election night. An alleged two (three?) time Gay Republican sexual assaulter wins in, of all places, California.
God has a real sick sense of humor.
San Diego County is red, has been for a long time.
Yeah, but it’s Business Republicans, not Fundamentalist Republicans.
Democrats can get seats there. (Peters the incumbent for example)
CA52 is most of Duke Cunningham’s old district redrawn. There are a couple of senior communities and some retirement homes in the area. Retired military, too.
Look, after the Republicans voted in the madam visiting, diaper-wearing senator, Appalachian Trail dude, the Rep under indictment for corruption and the “made my mistress to get an abortion” fella, nothing they do surprises me anymore. For a party that dubs themselves the moral majority party, they sure have absolutely no morals at all.
First off, San Diego is no longer red. The Dems have the voter registration edge, but also have a poor record of turning out. Also, Dirty DeMaio hasn’t won yet. He’s ahead by 752 votes, but Scott won last time on provisional ballots and still has a good shot. Having walked a precinct yesterday, I do know that a lot of Dems handed in their mail-in ballots at the polls yesterday. The mail ballots dropped off Monday night and at the polls – over 350,000 – haven’t been counted yet, nor any of the provisional ballots. DeMaio is not out of the woods by a long-shot, as he still faces an FBI investigation of the threatening emails and a civil lawsuit from the guy he publicly slimed. Also, there are lots more stories out and about of others DeMaio has abused, and rumors of more sex scandals. Stay tuned. The guy’s behavior is far worse than Bob Filner’s and he suffers from a massive case of narcissism and hubris. He will re-offend.
Californians are notoriously lazy voters. We always have terrible turnout. I know. I have lived here for 50 years
The lead will be down to 750 when they count the 2 mail-in ballots from my household. We turned them in at the polls on election day.
I don’t watch TV at all and listen to very little radio, so I don’t know what the Peters campaign was pitching to voters. What I couldn’t avoid was the relentless effort to get Dems to vote. Between the campaign, the SD County Democratic Party, and any other groups, our house probably had 3 in-person contacts and 12 phone calls. It got to be a nuisance. We probably had more than the average number of contacts, because we would have shown up on county lists as by-mail voters who hadn’t turned in a ballot yet.
So, the contact-your-voters part of the apparatus was working fine and probably would have led to good turnout if the Dem voters were inclined to vote.
Large chunks of his district is in areas of SD where Asian and white families who can afford to are drawn by the public school districts. I don’t know if Peters tried to tell voters how a Republican Rep. would impact schools, but it would have been worth a shot if he didn’t.
295k people voted in the 2012 election. Only 143k votes counted so far in 2014. The 2010 numbers aren’t applicable, because it was a different district then.
With 157k votes counted now, Peters has moved into a small lead:
Scott Peters (Party Preference: DEM) 78,837 50.3%
Carl DeMaio (Party Preference: REP) 77,976 49.7%
http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-rep/district/52/
That is good, but not significant, news, as there probably are upwards of 50k votes remaining to be counted, assuming that turnout didn’t drop more than 30% versus 2012.