Won’t matter unless Democrats GOTV like never before.
Cue the next round of Voter Roll Purges…
Is that makeup or is he mildly piebald?
The tide may be turning folks. Dems advantage in the mid-terms is up to 11 points and Trump’s approval rating is falling below 40%. Even though Mueller may go quiet this fall, Bob Woodward’s new book comes out Sept. 11th and may be the wooden stake through of the heart of a GOP that let Trump be Trump with no checks, balances or guardrails.
The “narrow lead” lede doesn’t impress me.
The impressive, or at least hopeful part of the story is that Mr. Gillum has hit 50% in the poll; that’s key, imho.
How many times have we seen this movie? You know, the one where the Democrat polls ahead before the election only to get sucker punched and deflated weeks before, and goes on to lose. Yeah, that one.
If the Democrats get out and vote this movie can have a different ending.
Great news. But this is Florida and it matters more who counts the votes than who votes.
these are “likely voter” results. Yes, GOTV is needed, but with 90% of respondents saying they would not change their mind, if this poll is accurate, the die is cast. Gilliam just needs to raise a lot of $$$ and get is voters to the polls, while working on his hispanic problem (hispanics break for DeSantos) with ads trying DeSantos to Trump’s hatred of Hispanics and Puerto Ricans.
It’s a shadow issue with the lighting. Another picture with better lighting:
https://www.rawstory.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/Andrew-Gillum-800x430.png
I hope he keeps the campaign style that propelled him to where he is today. He has a way of connecting with people that transcends race.
Qpac voter screen is always a few extra points toward Rrpubs than reality.
Should pad us a little.
He looks mildly piebald here as well (chin v nose). Maybe he wears some sort of makeup that changes how light interacts with his skin. Normally, light both reflects from and diffuses through human skin, but not with Gillum. I keep wondering because I’m never quite sure what I’m seeing when I look at a photo of him. For comparison, here’s an example of light interacting with human skin in the usual way, both diffusing and reflecting…it’s very different, and our brains process Sam Adams’ face easily:
I’m bullish about all these narrow leads. These polls don’t measure intensity. We have intensity like I’ve never seen before.
This is the 3rd poll with a Gillum lead: PPP G+5, Gravis: G+2, Q: G+3.
Although some of the internals vary (the Q poll internals seem the most whack) the key trends to note are that race is not having an outsized impact on the preference of white voters, but it will play an outsized role in generating Dem turnout. Democrats are supporting Gillum strongly. GOPers support DeSantis almost equally well, and Indies are giving Gillum a double digit advantage.
Additionally, the PPP poll indicated that those who voted for 3rd party candidates in 2016 are voting for Gillum. There were over 200k such voters in 2016 (psst…larger than Trump’s margin of victory).
In addition, Gillum has a clear candidate quality advantage over DeSantis. He is a compelling interview and speaker and has more of an appeal to moderate and pragmatic voters because he isn’t an ideologue and knows how to talk to kitchen table issues based on his background as a Mayor.
I think Gillum has room to grow and I think Trumper DeSantis has a ceiling of around 47%.
Not just ads; DeSantis needs to be pressed on his views of every aspect of Trump’s immigration policies relentlessly on social media and every time he sets foot in public.
This is going to be fun. Florida Democrats I have encountered since Gillum won have been loud and proud. They have been demanding Republicans tell them what they have done for average citizens. The Republicans sputter and then try to change the subject. The Democrats aren’t letting them (that is a game change.) I feel bullish about this race.
Good news, but there’s another race in FL that is critical. Hope he can pull Nelson over the finish line. Scott is a very dirty player.
um… that’s what GOTV means. 
That’s a narrow margin, within the poll’s 4.3 percentage point margin of error
I’ll take it over being 3 points BEHIND, fer chrissakes.
WTF??? Seriously?