The absentees not yet counted (Washington and Greene counties) should favor Saccone somewhat, but he’d have to massively outperform his election day results in order to make up the gap.
Best estimate I saw was that he’d have to win the absentees in those counties by 40 points, but only won the election day ballots in those counties by 8 points.
And in the two counties that have counted their absentees ballots far (Allegheny and Westmoreland) Saccone has significantly underperformed his election day results.
So short of an absentee vote miracle it looks like Lamb will win, unless there’s a major tabulation / reporting error somewhere.
so from the cup half empty perspective, granting repube pant shitting at their November prospects, and with knowledge that repubes do not play fair, and knowing that they have little respect for American institutions and governing norms as dictated by behavior and actions displayed for almost 40 years (reaching a crescendo in rank hypocrisy and utter capitulation of their Constitutional duty of meaningful Executive branch oversight with this Congress), and speculating that they and their funders will be greatly reluctant to allow a Democratic Congress to undue their few “accomplishments” (tax bill), I ask what happens in November?
elections proceed as more or less historically have occurred, blue wave as is possible/looks like a potentiality
or
elections postponed due to some sort of event (9-11, civil unrest, war…, fill in the blank)
alternatively the 9-11/war angle could be a rally round the flag call
ultimately I guess my point would be that to assume that repubes will play straightish and take an epic ass whooping to allow the impeachment of tRUmp and utter embarrassment of exposure due to other behaviors (Nunes), along with the aforementioned legislative reversals/halt in progress of court packing (maybe if the Senate flips) and specter of ACTUAL congressional oversight, would be a bad assumption on my behalf. The form? the impact? who knows? but if McConnell would knowingly electorally profit from russian interference in the 2016 elections, what’s the bottom of their personally-acceptable behavior? Repubes are the electoral meth-heads of America
Thanks, I’ve been busier than usual with other things, but I’m still around from time to time. Nice to see you too, and all the better on what appears to be a happy occasion!
So this clown is saying that “running as a Republican” suddenly means running as pro-choice, pro-Obamacare, pro-backgrounds checks, opposed to cutting Medicare & Social Security and pro-union.
There are 119 GOP held districts that are more Democratic than PA-18.
Prediction: At least a couple dozen GOP Congresscritters are about to announce that they’ve suddenly decided that they need to “spend more time with their families.”