Discussion for article #229036
BrowNosers Unite!
WooWoo-ing and Tomahawk Choppers welcome.
1 Like
They actually have the same nose. If someone with photoshop would switch their hairdos, that may do the trick.
1 Like
Horse race stuff. I’ve already tuned out most other sources until after the election. TPM is getting dangerously close to being on the no-fly list. I hate to say that too.
12 Likes
Oh, this is such crap. I’m from Massachusetts and I have relatives in NH, including some conservative folks, and they know Brown is full of shit. “The well respected Cook Report” is in the tank for whatever GOP operative has most recently greased them.
11 Likes
Not buying it. NH conservatives aren’t going to have any enthusiasm about shopping for a Senator in a Massachusetts Goodwill store.
10 Likes
Could New Hampshire be the sleeper race of 2014? No.
The Democratic ground game will make the margin exceed the polls. And I suspect that Brown will lose ground in the next couple of weeks, as people really come to terms with voting for that airhead.
6 Likes
This isn’t even horse race stuff. This is Sahil propaganda. Cherry picking polls to support a story that started in the spring…NH is in play!
It isn’t. It never has been. Shaheen will win comfortably.
10 Likes
As I recall, in 2012, the “well-respected” Cook rated Massachusetts a “toss-up” in the Warren-Brown race, because Brown had “shown he could win” in 2010.
Cook wants GOP outcomes. He barely disguises it, and only predicts Dem wins when the evidence is inescapably obvious.
Brown will win only if the polling is clearly skewing Dem… and given the very GOP friendly likely voter screens (which notably overestimated GOP performance even in 2010 – recall the Nevada and Colorado senate races) that doesn’t seem very likely.
Has anyone ever mentioned, meanwhile, that Brown – with all the supposed enthusiasm he’s said to carry – got under 50% in the GOP primary against nobodies?
8 Likes
Let’s not make this one a “horserace”.
GOTV Dems!!!
2 Likes
Michelle Nunn is beating Purdue in Georgia. Did Cook change that race yet??
4 Likes
Sigh.
Pure “clickbait” from COOK.
1 Like
Frat boy? Really?
PLEASE JESUS let Scott Brown LOSE this race!
I can’t imagine a world where people will be asking this shit head’s opinion on ANYTHING! I cannot bear to look at his face or hear his voice EVER again! Noooooo!
5 Likes
The polarization of the electorate has resulted in elections that are decided by smaller margins, but which are no more genuinely competitive than in the past.
The number of genuine swing voters is down somewhere near 8-10% of the electorate at this point. That means that the final numbers are often down to what we usually think of as close - say, six points.
But six points in 2014 is the same thing as six points in 1980. In a race with 10% swing voters, a six-point victory means you won 80% of the swing voters. In a race with 20% swing voters, you only have to win 65% of them to win by six points overall.
So I’m not too worried by Shaheen being “only” four or so points ahead.
1 Like
Bush’s Brain, and his Crossroads PAC have been running relentless, nasty ads against Shaheen for weeks, now. I believe the RNC has its own ads on air, too. Of course, Shaheen and the DNC are advertising as well, but nothing down to the level that the pro Brown ones do. Unfortunately, for those of us in MA, we are in the same media market as much of the NH population, and we have been suffering through their ads.
The word “could” in any headline is always a red flag. A headline that ends in a question mark is an even bigger red flag.
Could this be the end of serious journalism?
Could amateur bloggers produce better content than paid professionals?
Could people learn more from reading the comments section?
2 Likes
Well, there are other states and , you know, he’s got the pickup truck to get him there.
Oy, yes. I’m also in MA, and have had to deal with those endless ads.
The one consolation is… they really suck. Brown always looks like the deer-in-the-headlights moron he is (Brown is not just ignorant and deluded – he is a genuinely stupid man). His attack ads are like playground taunts. And of course everything still hinges on “Obamacare! Booga booga!” even as O-care fizzles as an electoral issue (see today’s remarks by the GOP gov of Ohio, dismissing repeal as pointless rhetoric).
1 Like
He’s been moving North. Somebody warn Quebec. If he veers East, Maine needs to prepare. I’m not worried about him causing trouble in Vermont.