Well, to be fair the pollsters should be asking voters if they’ve heard the facts about Monica Lewinsky and Vince Foster…
Yes! I really don’t understand why the Trump camp seems convinced bringing up all that old thoroughly hashed over cr@p is going to suddenly shift the race. Do they think people don’t know she’s married to Bill? It’s so weird.
Shhh…That’s Trump’s October Surprise.
A six point shift in one week?
These tracking polls are worthless.
Yeah but at lest they’re worthless in the right direction 
Trump’s asshole temperament in the debate along with his doubling-down on the Miss Universe misogyny is going to be late-September-October’s Kahn-like plummet in the polls for him. It’ll be too late for him to recover even if he yells her off the stage in the subsequent “debates” or dip-wad Assange drops some Russian-twerked misinformation on Clinton. He’s toast, or so I predict.
Unless the MSM decides it likes the idea of being abused by this loon for 4 years or until he’s impeached, whichever comes first. Otherwise they will probably keep the heat on him and bury the false equivalency for the next 40 days.
Good validation of what I saw at the debate, and I hoped others also saw.
Well, the poll concluded the day of the debate, so wouldn’t reflect any changes due to the debate.
I think her pneumonia really shock people. That video didn’t look good, now that they see her back to her normal self, they have breathed a sigh of relief & are coming back.
Trumpster’s done- get used to it!
If Trump gets elected after his “debate” nonsense, then the nation deserves the consequences.
What does it take to see a sociopath?
Question: Since Hillary obviously has a body double, is a 6 point lead really a 3- or 12-point lead? Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen.
Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.
There is no hope for the potheads and anti-vaxxers, and we should no longer care about them, especially post-election.
It’s a well established pattern:
Clinton rises in the polls.
Trump throws a tantrum.
Media fixates on Trump.
Not content with the current horse race, NY Times prints a hit piece on Hillary (clouds and shadows).
Media then fixates on Clinton faux-troversies.
Clinton slips in the polls.
Narrative shifts to “Democrats in a panic”
The Ipso tracker has been all over the map, and needs to be taken with two grains of salt… That said WE HAVE THE FIRST “POST DEBATE” POLL OUT. From Politico/Morning Call.
It is an internet survey (and I generally have some skepticism of these type of surveys) taken on 9/26 (obviously after the debate) and 9/27. The survey shows it was 83% White, and while 12% black, was only 8% Hispanic (see page 8 https://morningconsultintelligence.com/public/mc/160915_topline_Topicals_LIKELY_VOTERS_v3_AP.pdf ) It is possible that some of the whites are actually Hispanic, but if these numbers are right, the survey is very pro-Trump given how polarized the electorate is. My guess is that the pollster balanced their responses by party id (the survey is 38% D, 32% R) but that ignores the very major differences in voting by race and that many white working class people who say they are Democrats, really are republicans.
Anyway the headline number is 41% Clinton, 38% Trump, 8% Johnson (+3% Clinton) but that is a big shift from the Sept 22-24 sample by the same pollster took which was 38% Clinton, 39% Trump (+1% Trump). So this poll shows a shift of 4% to Clinton after the debate.
So ignore the headline numbers (which are think are pro-Trump by 3-4% do to a 83% white sample) note the 4% shift to Clinton. This is right at the top of the range I would have expected to see.
The poll also shows that 49% of respondents said Clinton won, 26% said Trump, 30% of the sample had not watch the debate.
23% said they viewed Clinton “Much more favorably” after the debate, 16% said “some what more favorably” (total 39% moved in her direction), 29% said they viewed her less favorably (adding much and somewhat numbers). Note that this number is (a) less than Trump’s support and (b) about the same number saying he won.
In contrast only 15% said they viewed Trump “Much more” and “somewhat” more favorably (total of 30%), while 23% said they viewed Trump “much less” favorably, and 11% said “somewhat less” (total 34% more negatively).
Their trend line is a little strange and contrary to some of the other pollsters. This is actually the biggest lead she has held in the Ipsos poll since early August. But it comes from days where other pollsters showed narrowing. Are other pollsters going to show her gaining a big lead in the few days and then Ipsos is going to show it narrowing again?
And that is exactly what we see from the Hacks at the NYT’s political desk, see e.g. AMY CHOZICK’s piece which was up this am saying D’s are afraid Hillary can’t keep it up, but which now appears to be GONE, GONE, GONE from the NYT.
My guess is that the political desks bias has become very clear to upper management and they are starting to crack down. Curious if Chozick’s story ever shows up again, and if so how much rewriting it got…
Thanks for the knowledge.
Cheers!