Discussion: Clinton Leads By Six Points In Florida Poll

That was one hell of a successful convention.

Political scientists Robert Erikson and Christopher Wlezien, authors of the book The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter, are widely regarded as the top authorities on general election polling.

And one thing their data from 1952 to 2008 clearly shows, according to Princeton election expert Sam Wang, is that head-to-head polls after the conventions are actually great predictors of who will win the race. In fact, the candidate ahead in polls two weeks after the conventions has gone on to win the popular vote in all 16 elections the political scientists studied, according to Vox’s Andrew Prokop.

Ratf$cking by Putin or Julian Assange, not withstanding; it really is almost over before it started. It’s Hillary’s to lose.

 
Ben JacobsVerified account
‏@Bencjacobs
Most remarkable crosstab of F&M poll of PA (which has Clinton up 11) has her losing voters making less than 35k to Trump by margin of 43-27

Uneducated white voters, along with minorities and immigrants, the ones who would be hurt the most by a Trump presidency.

Unfortunately, the media is now making it appear as if the only reason Hillary is up by so much is because of tRump’s implosion and not because of her convention, her policies, or her ideas being better than the other guy’s. It really is another case of how she gets absolutely no credit for running a successful campaign no matter what she does. The built-in narrative seems to be that she only wins if tRump self-destructs on the other side. I think that’s bullshit. Even if he was still getting his 40% old white male voters as his ceiling up until election day…he isn’t gonna win unless he can attract other types of voters, which he’s already proven incapable of doing.

The main thing is that Dems need to show up at the polls and vote the Democratic ticket from the top on down the ballot if they really want progressive ideas and policies to continue to shape the next several years in this country.

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Absolutely false. She gets 79% of the credit that any male candidate would in the same position. :wink:

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You know what, if the media wants to paint it all on Trump’s implosion, I’ll take it.

Pound him into the ground 24x7 on his unsuitability, I’ll take a double-shot of that anyday and twice on Sunday.

Let Hillary do what Hillary does best; workhorse, not showhorse, is not a bad thing, it is who she is. And that image, compared to Trumps unhinged sociopathy is the subtext everytime the media shows how much of a flake he is. IOW, take the win!

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