Discussion: Clinton Leads By Nine Points In Michigan

Trump camp: We expected drop in polls

“Drop”? How about the entire bottom dropping out, helped by a yuge vacuum pump. That’s the large sucking sound you hear.

Stick a fork in it, Donnie’s done…

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Trump: “There’s something wrong with these polls. I’m hearing it a lot. I get thousands at my rallies (and my campaign has given away thousands more tickets to people who can’t even get in). So these polls can’t be right.”

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I think we’ll see that the new equilibrium in polling is an 8-10 point average lead for Clinton nationally with Georgia and Arizona as battleground states. That will last at least until the debates. What’s more, I think Clinton has a very real chance of winning Utah this year and might be the first Democrat since Lyndon Johnson to win more than 400 EC votes. Thank you Donald.

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Did he actually say that, or are you just making stuff up?

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Another of the “rust belt” states Chuck Todd insists Trump can put in play. Baring a big scandal this election is over. On to winning the senate and positioning the party to take the house.

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RCP only has the Drumpfster Fire leading in two (2) battleground states, GA & MO.

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Making stuff up. I’m even more sarcastic than Trump.

But if you have to ask…if it sounds believable…it might as well be true.

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Looking at 538 it is pretty clear Nate Silver agrees. Trump is creating a giant landslide. He is on the wrong side of it but he is creating it.

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So we don’t forget, a big shout out to Mr. & Mrs. Khan!

We are forever in your debt!

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We have a long way to go folks. I’d feel much better if we were in October. However, I hope come late October, Drumpf’s goal will be to earn more electoral votes than Barry Goldwater. Then, he’ll claim victory. “I’m a winner!” (by not being the worst)

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Again, at this point why isn’t it more like 50 points?

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Give it a few more hours…

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Out of all of the tyrants and dictators for whom Manafort has served as propaganda minister, he’s finding Trump to be his worst, most difficult client.

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Does 400 require Texas or is there another route to 400?

One route would be GA, IN, UT & AR. Improbable, but not impossible.

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I’m giving all of the states Obama won in '08 to Clinton plus Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, Montana and (believe it or not) Utah. Why Utah? The Mormons really hate Trump. I can see a lot of them defecting to Johnson plus a few of the more moderate Mormons supporting Clinton. If Clinton can get 40% of the vote in Utah (which is only 4% more than Obama got in '08 there) the Republicans defecting to Johnson might hand her the state.

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In fairness to Chuck I never thought Trump was going to be this bad at national politics. I figured it would be a fight, but he has, all by himself, pushed college educated Republican men and women into Clinton’s arms. The entire Republican national security apparatus is now firmly on board with Clinton. Republicans generally have the military in their pockets, but not this year. Of course except for the subset of eastern European models he has shoved all immigrants and citizens connected to immigrants to Clinton. He has alienated every ethnic group except white. He has insulted women with his misogyny. Hell he has even insulted babies.

What is he left with–true Americans defined as white, non-college educated Christian men, which is about 20% of the population. In my lifetime there has never been a worse candidate.

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Remind me again, Michael Moore, how Trump is definitely going to win Michigan and Pennsylvania, and win the presidency, and we’re all gonna die.

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Thank you, I’ve been saying she can win Utah for months and she needs to get out there and campaign. Mitt is leading an exodus for Johnson and she’s already polling even or slightly better than Trump in a 3-way race. 50 state strategy, please. Not only is SLC very diverse and Mormons not favorably inclined to Trump, but once you get people who have never voted Dem to vote Dem, the taboo is broken and there’s possibility for the future.

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